Why is BBAI stock up?

$BBAIBigBear.ai
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Earnings update: BBAIupdated 1:17 p.m. ET, Oct. 28 · refreshed every 15 minutes

Today, the first trading day since the report, BBAI is at $2.35, 0.0% from the $2.35 pre-report close, as of 1:16 p.m. ET (day range $2.25–$2.39).

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. reported fiscal Q3 2026 results on Oct. 27 after the close: revenue $43.6M vs $39.7M expected (+9.7%); earnings per share $-0.06 vs $-0.06 expected.

Results figures as reported by the company; prices from market data. The company's results filings (8-K) on SEC EDGAR → Not investment advice.

BBAI is up 8.3% over five trading days, closing at $2.35 on Oct. 27, 2026. A move like this can come from the company itself or from a rally across its sector.

Below, we compare BBAI with its closest peers and check upcoming earnings and Fed dates. We also look at what BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.'s insiders and SEC filings show.

The chart below tracks BBAI's daily closing price from May 1, 2026 to Oct. 27, 2026. Over that stretch it is down 43.2%, from $4.14 to $2.35. The high was $5.34 on June 1, 2026, and the low was $2.12 on Oct. 19, 2026. Each red circle marks a week in which company insiders sold shares on the open market. There were 2 weeks in this period; bigger circles mean more money. There are no green diamonds: no insider bought on the open market in this window.

BBAI share price and insider trades
Daily closing price, May 1, 2026 to Oct 27, 2026 · dots are open-market trades by company insiders (SEC Form 4), one per week
Latest
$2.35
Oct 27, 2026
Change
▼ -43.2%
since May 1, 2026
High
$5.34
Jun 1, 2026
Low
$2.12
Oct 19, 2026
$2$3$4$5Week of May 4, 2026: insiders sold $62K on the open market (1 trade)Week of May 18, 2026: insiders sold $43K on the open market (1 trade)May 1, 2026Oct 27, 2026JulAugSep
Share price Insider sales: $105K in 2 trades Insider buys: noneBigger dot = more money. Hover a dot or the line for details.

BBAI vs peers this week

The table below shows how BBAI stacks up against its peers this week. Over 5 days, BBAI did best (+8.3%) and GOOGL worst (-5.8%).

Stock5 days1 month
BBAI+8.3%-11.7%
NVDA+0.7%-4.8%
MSFT-0.1%+4.3%
GOOGL-5.8%-6.5%
PLTR+3.2%+6.0%
AMD+4.8%-7.8%
MU-0.1%-16.5%

What could be behind the BBAI move

The company reported earnings 1 day ago (Oct. 27, 2026).

Across the broader market, the backdrop is a calm uptrend, with the VIX volatility index at 17.52. The Federal Reserve's next rate decision is on Oct. 28, 2026, 0 days away. Market pricing puts the odds at 93% for a hold, 6% for a hike and 1% for a cut.

Also worth knowing about BBAI

No insider bought or sold on the open market in the last 90 days.

Dilution risk is high (75/100).

Live BBAI data, updated every 30 minutes: BBAI insider trades, ownership and filings →

In BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.'s own words

“We’re raising our full-year revenue guidance after another strong quarter of revenue growth, a series of contract wins, and improved margins”

— Kevin McAleenan, CEO of BigBear · SEC filing

From the company's earnings release filed with the SEC on 2026-10-28 (Form 8-K).

What would change the picture for BBAI

These are the specific events and levels to watch. None of them is a prediction.

  • Insider buying: none on the open market in 90 days. A purchase by an executive or director would be the first in at least three months. It would show up on SEC Form 4 within two business days.
  • Price levels: a close above $7.17 would be a new 52-week high, 205.1% above the latest close of $2.35. A close below $2.12 would be a new 52-week low, 9.8% below it.
  • Growth: revenue fell 13.7% year over year in the quarter ending Jun 2026 (trend: accelerating).
  • New shares: dilution risk is high now. A new shelf registration (S-3) or a prospectus supplement (424B) for an offering would raise it.

How BBAI compares with its peers

Over the past month BBAI ranks 3 of 4 in this group (-11.7%); the best was AI (+18.1%) and the weakest SOUN (-25.0%).

A dash in the P/E column means the company lost money over the last 12 months, so it has no P/E.

StockClose1 month3 monthsFrom 52-wk highP/EPrice/salesRevenue growth
BBAI$2.35-11.7%-9.3%-67.2%—8.56-13.7%
PLTR$198.73+6.0%+61.6%-4.9%171.382.92+78.9%
AI$12.29+18.1%+38.9%-33.1%—8.2-37.5%
SOUN$4.37-25.0%-23.3%-76.2%—0.38+54.6%

BBAI history: what happened after similar moves

Since 2023, BBAI fell 11.7% or more in a month 21 times (separate episodes, not counting the current one). Three months later it was higher in 8 of 20 cases; the median change was -7.0%.

Past moves don't predict the next one; they show how volatile the stock has been.

Month endingMove in that month1 month later3 months later
2026-02-03-15.2%-18.4%-16.4%
2026-03-05-18.4%-13.1%+18.1%
2026-04-06-13.1%+17.9%-2.3%
2026-06-24-15.8%-21.6%-19.3%
2026-07-24-21.6%+11.2%-22.8%
2026-09-09-12.4%-14.5%not yet
The bottom line

BBAI is up 8.3% over five trading days, closing at $2.35 on Oct. 27, 2026. Its closest peers averaged a 0.5% gain over the same days, so the move is mostly specific to the company.

Questions people also ask

What is BBAI's 52-week high and low?

Over the past year BBAI closed as high as $7.17 and as low as $2.12. At $2.35 (Oct. 27, 2026) it is down 67.2% from the high and 10.8% above the low. More →

Are BBAI insiders buying or selling?

No BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. insider bought or sold BBAI on the open market in the last 90 days, according to SEC Form 4 filings.

Does BBAI pay a dividend?

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. reported no dividend payments over the last 12 months in its SEC filings.

Is BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. issuing new shares?

Dilution risk reads high (75/100). That is based on 3 offering-related filing(s) in 12 months.

Who is the largest shareholder of BBAI?

Among investment managers that file Form 13F, BlackRock Inc. reported the largest BBAI position ($148.9 million). 327 institutions reported holding BBAI for Q2 2026.

Is BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. profitable?

Not over the last 12 months: BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. had $131.6 million of revenue but a net loss (net margin -65.2%). More →

Dates to watch for BBAI

Insider trades can come any day: they must be filed on Form 4 within two business days.

DateEventWhy it matters
Wed Oct 28, 2026Federal Reserve rate decisionMarket odds: 93% hold, 1% cut, 6% hike.
Mon Nov 2, 2026PLTR earningsA read-through for BBAI: results from a peer often move the group.
Thu Nov 5, 2026SOUN earningsA read-through for BBAI: results from a peer often move the group.
Mon Nov 16, 202613F filing deadlineFunds disclose what they held on 2026-09-30, including BBAI.
Fri Nov 20, 2026Monthly options expirationOften heavier trading and bigger swings in widely traded stocks.
Wed Dec 2, 2026AI earningsA read-through for BBAI: results from a peer often move the group.

Key terms on this page

P/E ratio
Price divided by the last 12 months of earnings per share. A P/E of 20 means investors pay $20 for each $1 of yearly profit. It is only defined when the company is profitable.
Form 4
The SEC form a company's officers, directors and 10% owners must file within two business days of buying or selling its stock.
Open-market trade
A purchase or sale on the exchange at the market price, paid with the insider's own money (code P or S on Form 4), as opposed to option exercises, grants or gifts.
Form 13F
A quarterly SEC report listing the U.S. stock holdings of every investment manager with more than $100 million. It is due 45 days after each quarter ends, so it shows positions with a delay.
Dilution
When a company issues new shares, each existing share owns a smaller piece of the company. Common sources: stock offerings, convertible debt and large stock-based pay.
Form 8-K
The SEC form for material events between quarterly reports: earnings releases, deals, executive changes, stock offerings and similar news.
52-week high / low
The highest and lowest daily closing price over the past year (about 252 trading days).

Where these numbers come from

Every number on this page is computed from the data when the page is refreshed (usually daily); nothing is typed in by hand. This is information, not investment advice.

  • Price: daily closing prices through Oct. 27, 2026; changes use 5, 21 and 63 trading days; the 52-week range uses the last 252 closes.
  • Insider trades: SEC Form 4 filings for the last 90 days, counting only open-market purchases (code P) and sales (code S). Option exercises, grants, gifts and filings with data errors are left out.
  • Earnings dates and estimates: a market-data calendar; reported vs expected EPS for the last 4 quarters.
  • Valuation and growth: revenue, earnings, margins and share counts from the company's SEC filings (XBRL data, latest quarter Jun 2026). P/E and price/sales use the latest close.
  • Fund ownership: SEC Form 13F filings for Q2 2026.
  • Dilution: share-count changes and offering-related SEC filings (shelf registrations, prospectus supplements, convertible notes) over two years, scored 0-100.
  • History: 21-trading-day moves over about three years of daily closes, counted once per episode.

People and companies connected to BBAI

Public, widely reported roles and business ties as of 2026-10-17.

Track BBAI insider trades, dilution and 8-K filings as they're filed. CapitalSnitch puts SEC insider trading, 13F fund ownership and Congress trades inside ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, Grok and Copilot — ask "Are insiders buying BBAI?" and get the answer with links to the filings. Free plan, no card; paid plans from $29/month, with instant alerts on Edge.
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More questions about BBAI

How this article was made: it was generated from SEC filings and market data with automated tools and is published under Lauren Beckett's editorial responsibility. Spotted an error? Tell us and we will correct it.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (Form 4, 8-K/6-K, prospectuses, XBRL share counts) and daily closing prices. Insider sales are often routine (taxes, diversification, pre-planned 10b5-1 plans). Not investment advice.

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