Below: what to watch in the report. The section also covers BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. versus analyst estimates in recent quarters, and how the stock tends to move around earnings.
The chart below tracks BBAI's daily closing price from April 29, 2026 to Oct. 23, 2026. The stock fell 44.0% over that span, from $3.82 to $2.14. It reached a high of $5.34 on June 1, 2026 and a low of $2.12 on Oct. 19, 2026. Each red circle marks a week when company insiders sold shares on the open market (2 weeks in this period; bigger circles mean more money). No green diamonds appear: no insider bought on the open market in this window.
BBAI share price and insider trades
Daily closing price, Apr 29, 2026 to Oct 23, 2026 · dots are open-market trades by company insiders (SEC Form 4), one per week
Latest
$2.14
Oct 23, 2026
Change
▼ -44.0%
since Apr 29, 2026
High
$5.34
Jun 1, 2026
Low
$2.12
Oct 19, 2026
Share price Insider sales: $105K in 2 trades Insider buys: noneBigger dot = more money. Hover a dot or the line for details.
BBAI earnings: last four quarters
The table below shows BBAI earnings. Sept. 30, 2025 posted the highest surprise (+113.4%), while March 31, 2026 had the lowest (-47.1%). June 30, 2026 ranks 3 of 4.
Quarter
EPS reported
EPS expected
Surprise
2026-06-30
-0.05
-0.0459
-8.9%
2026-03-31
-0.12
-0.0816
-47.1%
2025-12-31
-0.01
-0.0612
+83.7%
2025-09-30
0.01
-0.0748
+113.4%
What to watch in the report
Revenue over the last 12 months: $131.6 million (-13.7% year over year, trend accelerating). Net margin: -65.2%.
Also worth knowing about BBAI
Latest close: $2.14 on Oct. 23, 2026, which is down 70.2% versus the 52-week high.
No insider bought or sold on the open market in the last 90 days.
“It has been another strong quarter. Double-digit growth, significant margin expansion and more than 20 new contracts show that the BigBear.ai leadership team is following through on our commitments. We are in a strong financial position with $410 million of cash and investments, we’re on track for our target of 17% revenue growth, and we intend to accelerate.”
From the company's earnings release filed with the SEC on 2026-07-30 (Form 8-K).
What would change the picture for BBAI
These are the specific events and levels to watch. None of them is a prediction.
The Oct. 27, 2026 earnings report is 2 days away. BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters (average surprise +35.3%). A miss would break that pattern.
An open-market purchase by an insider at BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. There has been none in 90 days; Form 4 filings would show one within two business days of the trade.
Price levels: a close above $7.17 would set a new 52-week high, 235.0% above the latest close of $2.14. A close below $2.12 would set a new 52-week low, 0.9% below it.
Growth: revenue fell 13.7% year over year in the quarter ending Jun 2026 (trend: accelerating).
New shares: dilution risk is high now. A new shelf registration (S-3) or a prospectus supplement (424B) for an offering would raise it.
How BBAI compares with its peers
Over the past month BBAI ranks 3 of 4 in this group (-23.6%); the best was AI (+15.8%) and the weakest SOUN (-27.4%).
A dash in the P/E column means the company lost money over the last 12 months, so it has no P/E.
Stock
Close
1 month
3 months
From 52-wk high
P/E
Price/sales
Revenue growth
BBAI
$2.14
-23.6%
-24.4%
-70.2%
—
7.8
-13.7%
PLTR
$196.75
+2.2%
+49.6%
-5.9%
169.6
82.1
+78.9%
AI
$12.46
+15.8%
+41.3%
-32.1%
—
8.31
-37.5%
SOUN
$4.43
-27.4%
-30.9%
-75.8%
—
0.38
+54.6%
BBAI history: what happened after similar moves
Since 2023, BBAI fell 23.6% or more in a month 12 times (separate episodes, not counting the current one). Three months later it was higher in 7 of 11 cases; the median change was +3.3%.
Past moves don't predict the next one; they show how volatile the stock has been.
Month ending
Move in that month
1 month later
3 months later
2025-08-15
-25.3%
-3.3%
+3.3%
2025-11-04
-25.5%
+22.5%
-28.8%
2026-02-05
-36.3%
+2.9%
+2.2%
2026-03-27
-24.3%
+31.2%
+14.6%
2026-06-29
-27.1%
-28.1%
-26.1%
2026-07-29
-28.1%
+23.2%
not yet
The bottom line
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) is expected to report earnings on Oct. 27, 2026, 2 days from now (after market close).
Questions people also ask
What is BBAI's 52-week high and low?
Over the past year BBAI closed as high as $7.17 and as low as $2.12. At $2.14 (Oct. 23, 2026) it is down 70.2% from the high and 0.9% above the low. More →
Are BBAI insiders buying or selling?
No BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. insider bought or sold BBAI on the open market in the last 90 days, according to SEC Form 4 filings.
Does BBAI pay a dividend?
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. reported no dividend payments over the last 12 months in its SEC filings.
Who is the largest shareholder of BBAI?
Among investment managers that file Form 13F, BlackRock Inc. reported the largest BBAI position ($148.9 million). 327 institutions reported holding BBAI for Q2 2026.
Is BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. issuing new shares?
Dilution risk reads high (75/100). That is based on 3 offering-related filing(s) in 12 months.
Is BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. profitable?
Not over the last 12 months: BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. had $131.6 million of revenue but a net loss (net margin -65.2%).
Dates to watch for BBAI
Insider trades can come any day: they must be filed on Form 4 within two business days.
Date
Event
Why it matters
Tue Oct 27, 2026
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. earnings
Results and guidance; the biggest scheduled event for the stock.
Wed Oct 28, 2026
Federal Reserve rate decision
Market odds: 93% hold, 1% cut, 6% hike.
Mon Nov 2, 2026
PLTR earnings
A read-through for BBAI: results from a peer often move the group.
Thu Nov 5, 2026
SOUN earnings
A read-through for BBAI: results from a peer often move the group.
Mon Nov 16, 2026
13F filing deadline
Funds disclose what they held on 2026-09-30, including BBAI.
Fri Nov 20, 2026
Monthly options expiration
Often heavier trading and bigger swings in widely traded stocks.
Wed Dec 2, 2026
AI earnings
A read-through for BBAI: results from a peer often move the group.
Key terms on this page
P/E ratio
Price divided by the last 12 months of earnings per share. A P/E of 20 means investors pay $20 for each $1 of yearly profit. It is only defined when the company is profitable.
Form 4
The SEC form a company's officers, directors and 10% owners must file within two business days of buying or selling its stock.
Open-market trade
A purchase or sale on the exchange at the market price, paid with the insider's own money (code P or S on Form 4), as opposed to option exercises, grants or gifts.
Form 13F
A quarterly SEC report listing the U.S. stock holdings of every investment manager with more than $100 million. It is due 45 days after each quarter ends, so it shows positions with a delay.
Dilution
When a company issues new shares, each existing share owns a smaller piece of the company. Common sources: stock offerings, convertible debt and large stock-based pay.
Form 8-K
The SEC form for material events between quarterly reports: earnings releases, deals, executive changes, stock offerings and similar news.
52-week high / low
The highest and lowest daily closing price over the past year (about 252 trading days).
Where these numbers come from
Every number on this page is computed from the data when the page is refreshed (usually daily); nothing is typed in by hand. This is information, not investment advice.
Price: daily closing prices through Oct. 23, 2026; changes use 5, 21 and 63 trading days; the 52-week range uses the last 252 closes.
Insider trades: SEC Form 4 filings for the last 90 days, counting only open-market purchases (code P) and sales (code S). Option exercises, grants, gifts and filings with data errors are left out.
Earnings dates and estimates: a market-data calendar; reported vs expected EPS for the last 4 quarters.
Valuation and growth: revenue, earnings, margins and share counts from the company's SEC filings (XBRL data, latest quarter Jun 2026). P/E and price/sales use the latest close.
Fund ownership: SEC Form 13F filings for Q2 2026.
Dilution: share-count changes and offering-related SEC filings (shelf registrations, prospectus supplements, convertible notes) over two years, scored 0-100.
History: 21-trading-day moves over about three years of daily closes, counted once per episode.
People and companies connected to BBAI
Kevin McAleenan — CEO of BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc..
U.S. Army — prime contractor for the Army's Global Force Management data system.
Public, widely reported roles and business ties as of 2026-10-17.
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How this article was made: it was generated from SEC filings and market data with automated tools and is published under Garrett Collins's editorial responsibility. Spotted an error? Tell us and we will correct it.
Sources: SEC EDGAR (Form 4, 8-K/6-K, prospectuses, XBRL share counts) and daily closing prices. Insider sales are often routine (taxes, diversification, pre-planned 10b5-1 plans). Not investment advice.
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