BBAI stock forecast and price prediction: what the data shows

Price targets are educated guesses, but the inputs behind them are public. CapitalSnitch does not publish price targets or predictions.

Below are the four items that matter most for BBAI. They cover what analysts think and the next earnings report. They also cover how BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. has done against estimates and how much the stock has swung in the past.

The chart below tracks BBAI's daily closing price from April 29, 2026 to Oct. 23, 2026. Over that stretch it is down 44.0%, from $3.82 to $2.14, with a high of $5.34 on June 1, 2026 and a low of $2.12 on Oct. 19, 2026. Each red circle marks a week in which company insiders sold shares on the open market (2 weeks in this period; bigger circles mean more money). There are no green diamonds: no insider bought on the open market in this window.

BBAI earnings track record

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. beat the analyst estimate in 2 of the last 4 quarters.

The table below shows the BBAI earnings track record. Sept. 30, 2025 has the highest surprise (+113.4%), and March 31, 2026 has the lowest (-47.1%). June 30, 2026 ranks 3 of 4.

Next BBAI earnings

The next report is expected on Oct. 27, 2026, 2 days from now.

How much BBAI has swung before

Over the last three years, BBAI had 5 drops of 20% or more from a high. The deepest was down 78.3%.

Also worth knowing about BBAI

Live BBAI data, updated every 30 minutes: BBAI insider trades, ownership and filings →

In BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.'s own words

“It has been another strong quarter. Double-digit growth, significant margin expansion and more than 20 new contracts show that the BigBear.ai leadership team is following through on our commitments. We are in a strong financial position with $410 million of cash and investments, we’re on track for our target of 17% revenue growth, and we intend to accelerate.”

— Kevin McAleenan, CEO of BigBear · SEC filing

From the company's earnings release filed with the SEC on 2026-07-30 (Form 8-K).

What would change the picture for BBAI

Watch these specific events and levels. None of them is a prediction.

• The Oct. 27, 2026 earnings report is 2 days away. BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters (average surprise +35.3%). A miss would break that pattern.
• Insider buying: none on the open market in 90 days. A purchase by an executive or director would be the first in at least three months. It would appear on SEC Form 4 within two business days.
• Price levels: a close above $7.17 would be a new 52-week high, 235.0% above the latest close of $2.14. A close below $2.12 would be a new 52-week low, 0.9% below it.
• Revenue fell 13.7% year over year in the quarter ending Jun 2026. The trend is accelerating.
• Dilution risk is high now. A new shelf registration (S-3) or a prospectus supplement (424B) for an offering would raise it.

How BBAI compares with its peers

Over the past month, BBAI ranks 3 of 4 in this group (-23.6%). AI was best (+15.8%) and SOUN was weakest (-27.4%).

A dash in the P/E column means the company lost money over the last 12 months. It has no P/E.

BBAI history: what happened after similar moves

Since 2023, BBAI fell 23.6% or more in a month 12 times (separate episodes, not counting the current one). Three months later it was higher in 7 of 11 cases; the median change was +3.3%.

Past moves don't predict the next one; they show how volatile the stock has been.

Questions people also ask

What is BBAI's 52-week high and low?

Over the past year, BBAI closed as high as $7.17 and as low as $2.12. At $2.14 on Oct. 23, 2026, it is down 70.2% from the high and 0.9% above the low. More →

When does BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. report earnings next?

The next report is expected on Oct. 27, 2026, 2 days from now. BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. beat the average estimate in 2 of its last 4 reports.

Does BBAI pay a dividend?

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. reported no dividend payments over the last 12 months in its SEC filings.

Is BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. issuing new shares?

Dilution risk reads high (75/100). It is based on 3 offering-related filing(s) in 12 months.

Is BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. profitable?

Over the last 12 months, BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. had $131.6 million of revenue but a net loss (net margin -65.2%).

Who is the largest shareholder of BBAI?

BlackRock Inc. reported the largest BBAI position ($148.9 million) among investment managers that file Form 13F. 327 institutions reported holding BBAI for Q2 2026.

Dates to watch for BBAI

Insider trades can come any day: they must be filed on Form 4 within two business days.

Key terms on this page

P/E ratio

Price divided by the last 12 months of earnings per share. A P/E of 20 means investors pay $20 for each $1 of yearly profit. It is only defined when the company is profitable.

Form 4

The SEC form a company's officers, directors and 10% owners must file within two business days of buying or selling its stock.

Open-market trade

A purchase or sale on the exchange at the market price, paid with the insider's own money (code P or S on Form 4), as opposed to option exercises, grants or gifts.

Form 13F

A quarterly SEC report listing the U.S. stock holdings of every investment manager with more than $100 million. It is due 45 days after each quarter ends, so it shows positions with a delay.

Dilution

When a company issues new shares, each existing share owns a smaller piece of the company. Common sources: stock offerings, convertible debt and large stock-based pay.

Form 8-K

The SEC form for material events between quarterly reports: earnings releases, deals, executive changes, stock offerings and similar news.

52-week high / low

The highest and lowest daily closing price over the past year (about 252 trading days).

Where these numbers come from

Every number on this page is computed from the data when the page is refreshed (usually daily); nothing is typed in by hand. This is information, not investment advice.

• Price data uses daily closing prices through Oct. 23, 2026. Changes cover 5, 21 and 63 trading days. The 52-week range uses the last 252 closes.
• Insider trades come from SEC Form 4 filings for the last 90 days. They count only open-market purchases (code P) and sales (code S). Option exercises, grants, gifts and filings with data errors are left out.
• Earnings dates and estimates come from a market-data calendar. They show reported vs expected EPS for the last 4 quarters.
• Valuation and growth data come from the company's SEC filings (XBRL data, latest quarter Jun 2026). P/E and price/sales use the latest close.
• Fund ownership uses SEC Form 13F filings for Q2 2026.
• Dilution tracks share-count changes and offering-related SEC filings (shelf registrations, prospectus supplements, convertible notes) over two years. It is scored 0-100.
• History covers 21-trading-day moves over about three years of daily closes. Each episode is counted once.