Will TSLA stock recover after today's 4.7% rebound?

TSLA is down 15.7% from its 3-month high and 29.8% from its 52-week high. Nobody can say if it climbs back, but the stock's history offers useful context.

Below are TSLA's past drops of 20% or more, how deep each fell and how long the recovery took.

The chart below tracks TSLA's daily closing price from May 12, 2026 to Nov. 5, 2026. The stock fell 20.7% over that span, from $433.45 to $343.69. It reached a high of $445.27 on May 13, 2026 and a low of $298.32 on July 29, 2026. Red circles mark weeks when insiders sold shares on the open market. 3 weeks had sales, and bigger circles mean more money. No green diamonds appear: no insider bought on the open market in this window.

TSLA's past 20%+ drops and recoveries

The table below shows TSLA's past 20%+ drops and recoveries. Dec. 16, 2025 has the highest drop (-39.1%). Dec. 17, 2024 has the lowest (-53.8%).

Also worth knowing about TSLA

Live TSLA data, updated every 30 minutes: TSLA insider trades, ownership and filings →

What would change the picture for TSLA

These are the specific events and levels to watch. None of them is a prediction.

• The Jan. 26, 2027 earnings report is 81 days away. Tesla, Inc. beat estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters. The average surprise was -1.9%. A miss would break that pattern.
• An insider at Tesla, Inc. has made no open-market purchase in 90 days. Form 4 filings would show one within two business days of the trade.
• Analyst ratings: the average score moved from 3.48 to 3.54 over three months. The scale runs from 1 for strong sell to 5 for strong buy. A run of downgrades after earnings usually shows up here first.
• Price levels: a close above $489.88 would be a new 52-week high. That is 42.5% above the latest close of $343.69. A close below $298.32 would be a new 52-week low, 13.2% below it.
• Growth: revenue rose 8.3% year over year in the quarter ending Sep 2026. The trend is steady. At a P/E of 377.7, a slowdown would matter more than at a lower multiple.
• New shares: dilution risk is moderate now. A new shelf registration (S-3) or a prospectus supplement (424B) for an offering would raise it.

How TSLA compares with its peers

Over the past month, TSLA ranks 4 of 5 in this group at -9.0%. GM was the best at +10.3%, and LCID was the weakest at -23.4%.

TSLA's P/E of 377.7 is above the peers' median of 19.5. Investors pay more for each dollar of profit, usually for faster expected growth.

A dash in the P/E column means the company lost money over the last 12 months. It has no P/E.

TSLA history: what happened after similar moves

Since 2023, TSLA fell 9.0% or more in a month 20 times (separate episodes, not counting the current one). Three months later it was higher in 13 of 20 cases; the median change was +5.5%.

Past moves don't predict the next one; they show how volatile the stock has been.

Questions people also ask

Do analysts think TSLA is a buy?

30 of the 61 analysts covering Tesla, Inc. rate it a buy or strong buy. The consensus is Hold. Ratings describe analysts' views, not a guarantee, and they change after earnings. More →

When does Tesla, Inc. report earnings next?

The next report is expected on Jan. 26, 2027, 81 days from now. Tesla, Inc. beat the average estimate in 3 of its last 4 reports. More →

Who is the largest shareholder of TSLA?

Among investment managers that file Form 13F, BlackRock Inc. reported the largest TSLA position at $90.1 billion. 4286 institutions reported holding TSLA for Q2 2026. More →

Does TSLA pay a dividend?

Tesla, Inc. reported no dividend payments over the last 12 months in its SEC filings.

Is Tesla, Inc. profitable?

Yes. Tesla, Inc. had $103.6 billion of revenue over the last 12 months. Its net margin was 3.1%, and its P/E was 377.7. More →

Is Tesla, Inc. issuing new shares?

Dilution risk reads moderate (30/100). The share count rose 18.9% in a year.

Dates to watch for TSLA

Insider trades can come any day: they must be filed on Form 4 within two business days.

Key terms on this page

P/E ratio

Price divided by the last 12 months of earnings per share. A P/E of 20 means investors pay $20 for each $1 of yearly profit. It is only defined when the company is profitable.

Form 4

The SEC form a company's officers, directors and 10% owners must file within two business days of buying or selling its stock.

Open-market trade

A purchase or sale on the exchange at the market price, paid with the insider's own money (code P or S on Form 4), as opposed to option exercises, grants or gifts.

Form 13F

A quarterly SEC report listing the U.S. stock holdings of every investment manager with more than $100 million. It is due 45 days after each quarter ends, so it shows positions with a delay.

Dilution

When a company issues new shares, each existing share owns a smaller piece of the company. Common sources: stock offerings, convertible debt and large stock-based pay.

Form 8-K

The SEC form for material events between quarterly reports: earnings releases, deals, executive changes, stock offerings and similar news.

52-week high / low

The highest and lowest daily closing price over the past year (about 252 trading days).

Where these numbers come from

Every number on this page is computed from the data when the page is refreshed (usually daily); nothing is typed in by hand. This is information, not investment advice.

• Price: daily closing prices run through Nov. 5, 2026. Changes use 5, 21 and 63 trading days. The 52-week range uses the last 252 closes.
• Insider trades: SEC Form 4 filings cover the last 90 days. They count only open-market purchases (code P) and sales (code S). Option exercises, grants, gifts and filings with data errors are left out.
• Analyst ratings: counts of current ratings from 61 analysts, compared with three months ago.
• Earnings dates and estimates: a market-data calendar. It shows reported vs expected EPS for the last 4 quarters.
• Valuation and growth: revenue, earnings, margins and share counts come from the company's SEC filings. The data is XBRL, from the latest quarter ending Sep 2026. P/E and price/sales use the latest close.
• Fund ownership: SEC Form 13F filings for Q2 2026.
• Dilution: share-count changes and offering-related SEC filings over two years. This includes shelf registrations, prospectus supplements and convertible notes. The score runs from 0 to 100.
• History: 21-trading-day moves over about three years of daily closes. Each episode is counted once.