Will RIVN stock recover?

Rivian Automotive logoLogo: trademark of Rivian Automotive, shown to identify the company. Image from Wikimedia Commons (Public domain).
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Earnings update: RIVNupdated 2:47 p.m. ET, Oct. 30 · refreshed every 15 minutes

Today, the first trading day since the report, RIVN is at $11.71, +2.3% from the $11.45 pre-report close, as of 2:46 p.m. ET (day range $11.53–$12.28).

Rivian Automotive, Inc. / DE reported fiscal Q3 2026 results on Oct. 29 after the close: revenue $2.15B vs $2.02B expected (+6.5%); earnings per share $-0.48 vs $-0.64 expected.

Results figures as reported by the company; prices from market data. The company's results filings (8-K) on SEC EDGAR → Not investment advice.

RIVN is down 32.5% from its 3-month high and 49.0% from its 52-week high. No one knows whether the stock will climb back. However, its historical performance offers useful context.

The table below shows RIVN's past drops of 20% or more, including how deep each drop went and how long the recovery took.

The chart below tracks RIVN's daily closing price from May 5, 2026 to Oct. 29, 2026. Over that stretch, RIVN fell 21.6% from $14.60 to $11.45. It reached a high of $20.14 on July 6, 2026 and a low of $11.43 on Oct. 26, 2026. Red circles mark 7 weeks when company insiders sold shares on the open market, with larger circles indicating higher dollar values. Green diamonds show 1 week with insider buys.

RIVN share price and insider trades
Daily closing price, May 5, 2026 to Oct 29, 2026 · dots are open-market trades by company insiders (SEC Form 4), one per week
Latest
$11.45
Oct 29, 2026
Change
▼ -21.6%
since May 5, 2026
High
$20.14
Jul 6, 2026
Low
$11.43
Oct 26, 2026
$10$12.5$15$17.5$20Week of May 18, 2026: insiders sold $181K on the open market (2 trades)Week of May 25, 2026: insiders sold $651K on the open market (2 trades)Week of Jun 1, 2026: insiders sold $144K on the open market (1 trade)Week of Jul 6, 2026: insiders sold $400K on the open market (1 trade)Week of Aug 17, 2026: insiders sold $319K on the open market (2 trades)Week of Sep 7, 2026: insiders sold $244K on the open market (1 trade)Week of Sep 28, 2026: insiders sold $225K on the open market (1 trade)Week of May 11, 2026: insiders bought $251K on the open market (1 trade)May 5, 2026Oct 29, 2026JulAugSep
Share price Insider sales: $2.2M in 10 trades Insider buys: $251K in 1 tradeBigger dot = more money. Hover a dot or the line for details.

RIVN's past 20%+ drops and recoveries

The table below details RIVN's past drops of 20%+ and their subsequent recoveries.

PeakLowDropBack to the peak
2023-09-292023-11-09-36.9%27 trading days (2023-12-19)
2023-12-192024-04-15-65.5%not yet

Also worth knowing about RIVN

Insiders made no open-market purchases over the past 90 days. Meanwhile, open-market sales totaled $788,000.

The dilution score for share issuance is high at 85/100. The total share count increased 11752.5% over a year.

The company filed an 8-K on Oct. 7, 2026 announcing non-convertible debt financing.

Live RIVN data, updated every 30 minutes: RIVN insider trades, ownership and filings →

What would change the picture for RIVN

These represent specific events and price levels to track. None of these factors constitutes a prediction.

  • Insiders at Rivian Automotive, Inc. / DE have made no open-market purchases in 90 days. When an insider buys, Form 4 filings must disclose the transaction within two business days.
  • Analyst ratings: the average score moved from 3.53 to 3.56 over three months (on a scale where 5 is strong buy and 1 is strong sell). A run of downgrades after earnings usually shows up here first.
  • A closing price above $22.45 would set a new 52-week high, standing 96.1% above the latest close of $11.45. A close below $11.43 would mark a new 52-week low, 0.2% below the current level.
  • Revenue rose 11.1% year over year in the quarter ending Sep 2026, showing an accelerating growth trend.
  • Dilution risk remains high right now. Filing a new shelf registration (S-3) or a prospectus supplement (424B) for an offering would increase that risk.

How RIVN compares with its peers

RIVN ranked 5 of 5 in this peer group over the past month, falling -23.4%. TSLA performed best at +13.7%, while RIVN was the weakest at -23.4%.

A dash in the P/E column indicates the company lost money over the last 12 months, leaving it with no P/E ratio.

StockClose1 month3 monthsFrom 52-wk highP/EPrice/salesRevenue growth
RIVN$11.45-23.4%-24.8%-49.0%—2.56+11.1%
TSLA$403.3+13.7%+29.6%-17.7%443.215.39+8.3%
GM$85.72+11.3%-3.3%-4.9%18.70.39-0.3%
F$12.36+2.5%-14.9%-28.4%—0.25-1.4%
LCID$3.2-21.4%-56.6%-82.2%—0.82+66.5%

RIVN history: what happened after similar moves

Since 2023, RIVN fell 23.4% or more in a month 8 times (separate episodes, not counting the current one). Three months later it was higher in 4 of 8 cases; the median change was -1.3%.

Past moves don't predict the next one; they show how volatile the stock has been.

Month endingMove in that month1 month later3 months later
2024-02-22-28.6%-5.7%-6.6%
2024-04-19-24.0%+19.1%+99.5%
2024-08-12-26.1%+4.0%-20.9%
2024-10-01-26.1%-0.5%+27.4%
2026-01-22-27.3%-8.3%+3.9%
2026-05-19-23.8%+28.1%+21.9%
The bottom line

RIVN sits 32.5% below its 3-month high and 49.0% below its 52-week high. Nobody knows if or when it will recover. History simply shows how past drops played out.

Over the last three years, 1 drop of 20% or more fully recovered. That comeback took about 27 trading days on average.

Questions people also ask

Do analysts think RIVN is a buy?

20 of the 34 analysts who cover Rivian Automotive, Inc. / DE rate it a buy or strong buy, for a consensus of Hold. Ratings describe analysts' views, not a guarantee, and they change after earnings. More →

Are RIVN insiders buying or selling?

Insiders sold $788,306 of RIVN on the open market in 90 days and bought none. Sales are often routine (taxes, diversification, pre-planned plans); purchases with their own money are the stronger signal.

Who is the largest shareholder of RIVN?

Among investment managers filing Form 13F, Amazon Com Inc reported the largest RIVN position at $2.7 billion. Overall, 817 institutions reported holding RIVN for Q2 2026.

Is Rivian Automotive, Inc. / DE profitable?

Rivian Automotive, Inc. / DE was not profitable over the last 12 months. The company generated $6.5 billion of revenue but reported a net loss with a net margin of -45.9%.

Is Rivian Automotive, Inc. / DE issuing new shares?

Dilution risk measures high at 85/100 as the share count expanded 11752.5% in a year. This score reflects 3 offering-related filing(s) submitted over 12 months.

Does RIVN pay a dividend?

In its SEC filings, Rivian Automotive, Inc. / DE reported no dividend payments over the last 12 months.

Dates to watch for RIVN

Insider trades can come any day: they must be filed on Form 4 within two business days.

DateEventWhy it matters
Mon Nov 9, 2026LCID earningsA read-through for RIVN: results from a peer often move the group.
Mon Nov 16, 202613F filing deadlineFunds disclose what they held on 2026-09-30, including RIVN.
Fri Nov 20, 2026Monthly options expirationOften heavier trading and bigger swings in widely traded stocks.
Wed Dec 9, 2026Federal Reserve rate decisionMarket odds: 24% hold, 1% cut, 75% hike.

Key terms on this page

P/E ratio
Price divided by the last 12 months of earnings per share. A P/E of 20 means investors pay $20 for each $1 of yearly profit. It is only defined when the company is profitable.
Form 4
The SEC form a company's officers, directors and 10% owners must file within two business days of buying or selling its stock.
Open-market trade
A purchase or sale on the exchange at the market price, paid with the insider's own money (code P or S on Form 4), as opposed to option exercises, grants or gifts.
Form 13F
A quarterly SEC report listing the U.S. stock holdings of every investment manager with more than $100 million. It is due 45 days after each quarter ends, so it shows positions with a delay.
Dilution
When a company issues new shares, each existing share owns a smaller piece of the company. Common sources: stock offerings, convertible debt and large stock-based pay.
Form 8-K
The SEC form for material events between quarterly reports: earnings releases, deals, executive changes, stock offerings and similar news.
52-week high / low
The highest and lowest daily closing price over the past year (about 252 trading days).

Where these numbers come from

Every number on this page is computed from the data when the page is refreshed (usually daily); nothing is typed in by hand. This is information, not investment advice.

  • Price: daily closing prices through Oct. 29, 2026; changes use 5, 21 and 63 trading days; the 52-week range uses the last 252 closes.
  • Insider trading data tracks SEC Form 4 filings from the last 90 days. The count includes only open-market purchases (code P) and sales (code S), excluding option exercises, grants, gifts, and filings with errors.
  • Analyst ratings: counts of current ratings from 34 analysts, compared with three months ago.
  • Earnings dates and estimates come from a market calendar, displaying reported versus expected EPS for the last 4 quarters.
  • Valuation and growth figures draw revenue, earnings, margins, and share counts from SEC filings using XBRL data through the quarter ending Sep 2026. P/E and price/sales ratios rely on the latest closing price.
  • Fund ownership: SEC Form 13F filings for Q2 2026.
  • Dilution: share-count changes and offering-related SEC filings (shelf registrations, prospectus supplements, convertible notes) over two years, scored 0-100.
  • History: 21-trading-day moves over about three years of daily closes, counted once per episode.
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More questions about RIVN

How this article was made: it was generated from SEC filings and market data with automated tools and is published under Everett Sloan's editorial responsibility. Spotted an error? Tell us and we will correct it.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (Form 4, 8-K/6-K, prospectuses, XBRL share counts) and daily closing prices. Insider sales are often routine (taxes, diversification, pre-planned 10b5-1 plans). Not investment advice.

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