RIVN stock forecast and price prediction: what the data shows

Price targets are educated guesses, but the inputs behind them are public. CapitalSnitch does not publish price targets or predictions.

Below are the four that matter most for RIVN: analyst opinion and the next earnings report. Also included are how Rivian Automotive, Inc. / DE has done against estimates and how much the stock has swung in the past.

The chart below tracks RIVN's daily closing price from May 5, 2026 to Oct. 29, 2026. Over that stretch it is down 21.6%, from $14.60 to $11.45, with a high of $20.14 on July 6, 2026 and a low of $11.43 on Oct. 26, 2026. Each red circle marks a week in which company insiders sold shares on the open market (7 weeks in this period; bigger circles mean more money); each green diamond a week in which they bought (1 week).

RIVN analyst consensus

Of 34 Wall Street analysts covering RIVN, 20 rate it a buy, 9 a hold and 5 a sell. That is a consensus of Hold. Ratings are little changed over three months.

RIVN earnings track record

Rivian Automotive, Inc. / DE beat the analyst estimate in all 4 of the last 4 quarters.

The table below shows the RIVN earnings track record. June 30, 2026 has the highest surprise (+28.5%), and March 31, 2026 the lowest (+9.4%). Sept. 30, 2026 ranks 2 of 4.

How much RIVN has swung before

Over the last three years, RIVN had 2 drops of 20% or more from a high. The deepest was down 65.5%.

Also worth knowing about RIVN

Live RIVN data, updated every 30 minutes: RIVN insider trades, ownership and filings →

What would change the picture for RIVN

These are the specific events and levels to watch. None of them is a prediction.

• Insider buying: none on the open market in 90 days. A purchase by an executive or director would be the first in at least three months. It would show up on SEC Form 4 within two business days.
• Analyst ratings: the average score moved from 3.53 to 3.56 over three months. This uses a scale where 5 is strong buy and 1 is strong sell. A run of downgrades after earnings usually shows up here first.
• Price levels: a close above $22.45 would be a new 52-week high, 96.1% above the latest close of $11.45. A close below $11.43 would be a new 52-week low, 0.2% below it.
• Growth: revenue rose 11.1% year over year in the quarter ending Sep 2026. The trend is accelerating.
• New shares: dilution risk is high now. A new shelf registration (S-3) or a prospectus supplement (424B) for an offering would raise it.

How RIVN compares with its peers

Over the past month, RIVN ranks 5 of 5 in this group (-23.4%). The best was TSLA (+13.7%), and the weakest was RIVN (-23.4%).

A dash in the P/E column means the company lost money over the last 12 months. It has no P/E.

RIVN history: what happened after similar moves

Since 2023, RIVN fell 23.4% or more in a month 8 times (separate episodes, not counting the current one). Three months later it was higher in 4 of 8 cases; the median change was -1.3%.

Past moves don't predict the next one; they show how volatile the stock has been.

Questions people also ask

What is RIVN's 52-week high and low?

Over the past year, RIVN closed as high as $22.45 and as low as $11.43. At $11.45 on Oct. 29, 2026, it is down 49.0% from the high and 0.2% above the low. More →

Are RIVN insiders buying or selling?

Insiders sold $788,306 of RIVN on the open market in 90 days and bought none. Sales are often routine (taxes, diversification, pre-planned plans). Purchases with their own money are the stronger signal.

Is Rivian Automotive, Inc. / DE profitable?

Not over the last 12 months: Rivian Automotive, Inc. / DE had $6.5 billion of revenue but a net loss (net margin -45.9%).

Who is the largest shareholder of RIVN?

Among investment managers that file Form 13F, Amazon Com Inc reported the largest RIVN position ($2.7 billion). 817 institutions reported holding RIVN for Q2 2026.

Does RIVN pay a dividend?

Rivian Automotive, Inc. / DE reported no dividend payments over the last 12 months in SEC filings.

Is Rivian Automotive, Inc. / DE issuing new shares?

Dilution risk reads high (85/100). The share count rose 11752.5% in a year. That is based on 3 offering-related filing(s) in 12 months.

Dates to watch for RIVN

Insider trades can come any day: they must be filed on Form 4 within two business days.

Key terms on this page

P/E ratio

Price divided by the last 12 months of earnings per share. A P/E of 20 means investors pay $20 for each $1 of yearly profit. It is only defined when the company is profitable.

Form 4

The SEC form a company's officers, directors and 10% owners must file within two business days of buying or selling its stock.

Open-market trade

A purchase or sale on the exchange at the market price, paid with the insider's own money (code P or S on Form 4), as opposed to option exercises, grants or gifts.

Form 13F

A quarterly SEC report listing the U.S. stock holdings of every investment manager with more than $100 million. It is due 45 days after each quarter ends, so it shows positions with a delay.

Dilution

When a company issues new shares, each existing share owns a smaller piece of the company. Common sources: stock offerings, convertible debt and large stock-based pay.

Form 8-K

The SEC form for material events between quarterly reports: earnings releases, deals, executive changes, stock offerings and similar news.

52-week high / low

The highest and lowest daily closing price over the past year (about 252 trading days).

Where these numbers come from

Every number on this page is computed from the data when the page is refreshed (usually daily); nothing is typed in by hand. This is information, not investment advice.

• Price: daily closing prices through Oct. 29, 2026. Changes use 5, 21 and 63 trading days. The 52-week range uses the last 252 closes.
• Insider trades: SEC Form 4 filings for the last 90 days. This counts only open-market purchases (code P) and sales (code S). Option exercises, grants, gifts and filings with data errors are left out.
• Analyst ratings: counts of current ratings from 34 analysts compared with three months ago.
• Earnings dates and estimates: a market-data calendar. It shows reported vs expected EPS for the last 4 quarters.
• Valuation and growth: revenue, earnings, margins and share counts from the company's SEC filings (XBRL data, latest quarter Sep 2026). P/E and price/sales use the latest close.
• Fund ownership: SEC Form 13F filings for Q2 2026.
• Dilution: share-count changes and offering-related SEC filings (shelf registrations, prospectus supplements, convertible notes) over two years, scored 0-100.
• History: 21-trading-day moves over about three years of daily closes, counted once per episode.