Will INTC stock recover?

Intel logoLogo: trademark of Intel, shown to identify the company. Image from Wikimedia Commons (Public domain).
raspberry, computer, circuit board, electronics, processor, cpu, chip, circuit board, circuit board, electronics, proces
Image by bbAAER from Pixabay

INTC is down 27.8% from its 3-month high and 34.7% from its 52-week high. The stock's past performance provides context, though future movement is uncertain.

Below are INTC's past drops of 20% or more, the depth of each decline, and the time each recovery required.

The chart below tracks INTC's daily closing price from April 23, 2026 to Oct. 19, 2026. During that period the price rose 37.8%, moving from $66.78 to $92.03. The high was $140.94 on June 22, 2026 and the low was $66.78 on April 23, 2026. Red circles mark weeks when insiders sold shares on the open market (2 weeks; larger circles indicate more money). Green diamonds mark weeks when insiders bought (1 week).

INTC share price and insider trades
Daily closing price, Apr 23, 2026 to Oct 19, 2026 · dots are open-market trades by company insiders (SEC Form 4), one per week
Latest
$92.03
Oct 19, 2026
Change
▲ +37.8%
since Apr 23, 2026
High
$140.94
Jun 22, 2026
Low
$66.78
Apr 23, 2026
$60$80$100$120$140Week of Apr 27, 2026: insiders sold $4.0M on the open market (1 trade)Week of May 25, 2026: insiders sold $2.5M on the open market (1 trade)Week of Aug 10, 2026: insiders bought $10.0M on the open market (1 trade)Apr 23, 2026Oct 19, 2026JulAug
Share price Insider sales: $6.5M in 2 trades Insider buys: $10.0M in 1 tradeBigger dot = more money. Hover a dot or the line for details.

INTC's past 20%+ drops and recoveries

The table below shows INTC's past 20%+ drops and recoveries. The largest decline occurred on May 11, 2026 (-23.4%); the deepest was on Dec. 27, 2023 (-63.8%).

PeakLowDropBack to the peak
2023-12-272025-04-08-63.8%197 trading days (2026-01-21)
2026-01-222026-03-30-24.2%6 trading days (2026-04-08)
2026-05-112026-06-05-23.4%9 trading days (2026-06-18)
2026-06-222026-07-29-41.9%not yet

Also worth knowing about INTC

Company insiders purchased $10 million of stock on the open market over the past 90 days.

The dilution score for share issuance is 65/100, indicating high risk. Share count rose 15.2% over the past year.

Live INTC data, updated every 30 minutes: INTC insider trades, ownership and filings →

In Intel Corp's own words

“AI is driving unprecedented demand for compute, and as we continue to execute, Intel is well-positioned to capture sustainable growth across our CPU franchise, ASICs, advanced packaging and vast wafer foundry network”

— Lip-Bu Tan, Intel CEO · SEC filing

From the company's earnings release filed with the SEC on 2026-07-23 (Form 8-K).

What would change the picture for INTC

These are the specific events and levels to watch. None of them is a prediction.

  • The Oct. 29, 2026 earnings report (9 days away). Intel Corp beat estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters (average surprise +1086.3%); a miss would break that pattern.
  • Insider buying: 1 insider bought $10 million in 90 days. More purchases would strengthen that signal; sales by the same people would weaken it.
  • Price levels: a close above $140.94 would be a new 52-week high, 53.1% above the latest close of $92.03; a close below $33.62 would be a new 52-week low, 63.5% below it.
  • Growth: revenue rose 7.5% year over year in the quarter ending Jun 2026 (trend: accelerating).
  • New shares: dilution risk is high now. A new shelf registration (S-3) or a prospectus supplement (424B) for an offering would raise it.

How INTC compares with its peers

Over the past month INTC ranks 6 of 6 in this group (-15.3%); the best was NVDA (-2.3%) and the weakest INTC (-15.3%).

A dash in the P/E column means the company lost money over the last 12 months, so it has no P/E.

StockClose1 month3 monthsFrom 52-wk highP/EPrice/salesRevenue growth
INTC$92.03-15.3%-12.7%-34.7%—8.14+7.5%
NVDA$217.09-2.3%+4.8%-9.3%27.417.27+83.4%
AMD$538.05-3.9%-1.2%-17.1%138.321.27+39.5%
AVGO$334.59-6.3%-13.3%-30.3%42.717.93+48.7%
TSM$420.22-3.3%-0.8%-13.5%4.82.2+36.4%
QCOM$173.53-2.4%+0.6%-30.2%19.84.13+1.9%

INTC history: what happened after similar moves

Since 2023, INTC fell 15.3% or more in a month 9 times (separate episodes, not counting the current one). Three months later it was higher in 4 of 9 cases; the median change was -0.2%.

Past moves don't predict the next one; they show how volatile the stock has been.

Month endingMove in that month1 month later3 months later
2024-12-06-16.5%-5.0%-1.1%
2025-04-11-16.7%+14.3%+16.1%
2025-08-07-15.7%+23.8%+94.1%
2026-02-20-18.7%-0.2%+168.6%
2026-06-10-17.3%-3.7%-6.3%
2026-07-15-17.3%+1.5%-0.2%
The bottom line

INTC is down 27.8% from its 3-month high and 34.7% from its 52-week high. History only shows how past declines unfolded; future recovery timing remains unknown.

In the last three years, 3 drops of 20% or more fully recovered, after about 71 trading days on average.

Questions people also ask

When does Intel Corp report earnings next?

The next report is expected on Oct. 29, 2026, 9 days from now. Intel Corp beat the average estimate in all 4 of the last 4 reports.

Are INTC insiders buying or selling?

Yes. 1 insider bought $10 million of INTC on the open market in the last 90 days.

Is Intel Corp issuing new shares?

Dilution risk reads high (65/100); the share count rose 15.2% in a year. That is based on 3 offering-related filing(s) in 12 months.

Does INTC pay a dividend?

Intel Corp reported no dividend payments over the last 12 months in its SEC filings.

Is Intel Corp profitable?

Not over the last 12 months: Intel Corp had $57 billion of revenue but a net loss (net margin -19.8%).

Who is the largest shareholder of INTC?

Among investment managers that file Form 13F, BlackRock Inc. reported the largest INTC position ($59.5 billion). 3554 institutions reported holding INTC for Q2 2026.

Dates to watch for INTC

Insider trades can come any day: they must be filed on Form 4 within two business days.

DateEventWhy it matters
Wed Oct 28, 2026Federal Reserve rate decisionMarket odds: 85% hold, 1% cut, 14% hike.
Thu Oct 29, 2026Intel Corp earningsResults and guidance; the biggest scheduled event for the stock.
Tue Nov 3, 2026AMD earningsA read-through for INTC: results from a peer often move the group.
Wed Nov 4, 2026QCOM earningsA read-through for INTC: results from a peer often move the group.
Mon Nov 16, 202613F filing deadlineFunds disclose what they held on 2026-09-30, including INTC.
Tue Nov 17, 2026NVDA earningsA read-through for INTC: results from a peer often move the group.
Fri Nov 20, 2026Monthly options expirationOften heavier trading and bigger swings in widely traded stocks.

Key terms on this page

P/E ratio
Price divided by the last 12 months of earnings per share. A P/E of 20 means investors pay $20 for each $1 of yearly profit. It is only defined when the company is profitable.
Form 4
The SEC form a company's officers, directors and 10% owners must file within two business days of buying or selling its stock.
Open-market trade
A purchase or sale on the exchange at the market price, paid with the insider's own money (code P or S on Form 4), as opposed to option exercises, grants or gifts.
Form 13F
A quarterly SEC report listing the U.S. stock holdings of every investment manager with more than $100 million. It is due 45 days after each quarter ends, so it shows positions with a delay.
Dilution
When a company issues new shares, each existing share owns a smaller piece of the company. Common sources: stock offerings, convertible debt and large stock-based pay.
Form 8-K
The SEC form for material events between quarterly reports: earnings releases, deals, executive changes, stock offerings and similar news.
52-week high / low
The highest and lowest daily closing price over the past year (about 252 trading days).

Where these numbers come from

Every number on this page is computed from the data when the page is refreshed (usually daily); nothing is typed in by hand. This is information, not investment advice.

  • Price: daily closing prices through Oct. 19, 2026; changes use 5, 21 and 63 trading days; the 52-week range uses the last 252 closes.
  • Insider trades: SEC Form 4 filings for the last 90 days, counting only open-market purchases (code P) and sales (code S); option exercises, grants, gifts and filings with data errors are left out.
  • Earnings dates and estimates: a market-data calendar; reported vs expected EPS for the last 4 quarters.
  • Valuation and growth: revenue, earnings, margins and share counts from the company's SEC filings (XBRL data, latest quarter Jun 2026); P/E and price/sales use the latest close.
  • Fund ownership: SEC Form 13F filings for Q2 2026.
  • Dilution: share-count changes and offering-related SEC filings (shelf registrations, prospectus supplements, convertible notes) over two years, scored 0-100.
  • History: 21-trading-day moves over about three years of daily closes, counted once per episode.
Track INTC insider trades, dilution and 8-K filings as they're filed. CapitalSnitch puts SEC insider trading, 13F fund ownership and Congress trades inside ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, Grok and Copilot — ask "Are insiders buying INTC?" and get the answer with links to the filings. Free plan, no card; paid plans from $29/month, with instant alerts on Edge.
Start free Live INTC data

More questions about INTC

Related analysis

How this article was made: it was generated from SEC filings and market data with automated tools and is published under Tessa Caldwell's editorial responsibility. Spotted an error? Tell us and we will correct it.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (Form 4, 8-K/6-K, prospectuses, XBRL share counts) and daily closing prices. Insider sales are often routine (taxes, diversification, pre-planned 10b5-1 plans). Not investment advice.

Free weekly email: the week's biggest insider buys and Congress trades, every Monday. No spam, one-click unsubscribe.