SMCI stock forecast and price prediction: what the data shows

Price targets are educated guesses, but the inputs behind them are public. CapitalSnitch doesn't publish price targets or predictions.

Below are the four that matter most for SMCI: what analysts think, the next earnings report, results versus estimates and past price swings.

The chart below tracks SMCI's daily closing price from April 27, 2026 to Oct. 21, 2026. Over that stretch it is up 27.7%, from $27.85 to $35.57, with a high of $50.17 on June 2, 2026 and a low of $23.83 on July 20, 2026. Each red circle marks a week in which company insiders sold shares on the open market (2 weeks in this period; bigger circles mean more money). There are no green diamonds: no insider bought on the open market in this window.

SMCI earnings track record

Super Micro Computer, Inc. beat the analyst estimate in 2 of the last 4 quarters.

The table below shows SMCI earnings track record. June 30, 2026 has the highest surprise (+74.1%). March 31, 2025 has the lowest (-39.3%).

Next SMCI earnings

The report is on Nov. 3, 2026 (12 days from now).

How much SMCI has swung before

Over the last three years, SMCI had 3 drops of 20% or more from a high. The deepest was down 84.8%.

Also worth knowing about SMCI

Live SMCI data, updated every 30 minutes: SMCI insider trades, ownership and filings →

What would change the picture for SMCI

These are the specific events and levels to watch. None of them is a prediction.

• The next earnings report is Nov. 3, 2026 (12 days away). Super Micro Computer, Inc. beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters (average surprise +14.7%). A miss would break that pattern.
• There was no insider buying on the open market in 90 days. A purchase by an executive or director would be the first in at least three months. It would show up on SEC Form 4 within two business days.
• A close above $54.82 would be a new 52-week high. That level is 54.1% above the latest close of $35.57. A close below $20.53 would be a new 52-week low. That level is 42.3% below it.
• Revenue rose 77.8% year over year in the quarter ending Jun 2026. The trend is accelerating. At a P/E of 10.9, a slowdown would matter more than at a lower multiple.
• New shares: dilution risk is high now. A new shelf registration (S-3) or a prospectus supplement (424B) for an offering would raise it.

SMCI history: what happened after similar moves

Since 2023, SMCI fell 14.4% or more in a month 16 times (separate episodes, not counting the current one). Three months later it was higher in 5 of 16 cases; the median change was -11.9%.

Past moves don't predict the next one; they show how volatile the stock has been.

Questions people also ask

What is SMCI's 52-week high and low?

Over the past year, SMCI closed as high as $54.82 and as low as $20.53. At $35.57 (Oct. 21, 2026) it is down 35.1% from the high. It is 73.3% above the low. More →

When does Super Micro Computer, Inc. report earnings next?

The next report is on Nov. 3, 2026, 12 days from now. Super Micro Computer, Inc. beat the average estimate in 2 of its last 4 reports.

Is Super Micro Computer, Inc. issuing new shares?

Dilution risk reads high (95/100); the share count rose 10.5% in a year. That comes from 2 offering-related filing(s) in 12 months.

Are SMCI insiders buying or selling?

Insiders sold $24.4 million of SMCI on the open market in 90 days and bought none. Sales are often routine (taxes, diversification, pre-planned plans). Purchases with their own money are the stronger signal.

Does SMCI pay a dividend?

Super Micro Computer, Inc. reported no dividend payments over the last 12 months in its SEC filings.

Who is the largest shareholder of SMCI?

Among investment managers that file Form 13F, BlackRock Inc. reported the largest SMCI position ($1.4 billion). 767 institutions reported holding SMCI for Q2 2026.

Dates to watch for SMCI

Insider trades can come any day: they must be filed on Form 4 within two business days.

Key terms on this page

P/E ratio

Price divided by the last 12 months of earnings per share. A P/E of 20 means investors pay $20 for each $1 of yearly profit. It is only defined when the company is profitable.

Form 4

The SEC form a company's officers, directors and 10% owners must file within two business days of buying or selling its stock.

Open-market trade

A purchase or sale on the exchange at the market price, paid with the insider's own money (code P or S on Form 4), as opposed to option exercises, grants or gifts.

Form 13F

A quarterly SEC report listing the U.S. stock holdings of every investment manager with more than $100 million. It is due 45 days after each quarter ends, so it shows positions with a delay.

Dilution

When a company issues new shares, each existing share owns a smaller piece of the company. Common sources: stock offerings, convertible debt and large stock-based pay.

52-week high / low

The highest and lowest daily closing price over the past year (about 252 trading days).

EPS and earnings surprise

Earnings per share is profit divided by shares. The surprise is how far the reported number came in above or below the analysts' average estimate.

Where these numbers come from

Every number on this page is computed from the data when the page is refreshed (usually daily); nothing is typed in by hand. This is information, not investment advice.

• Price data uses daily closing prices through Oct. 21, 2026. Changes use 5, 21 and 63 trading days. The 52-week range uses the last 252 closes.
• Insider trades come from SEC Form 4 filings for the last 90 days. The count includes only open-market purchases (code P) and sales (code S). The count leaves out option exercises, grants, gifts and filings with data errors.
• Earnings dates and estimates come from a market-data calendar. It covers reported versus expected EPS for the last 4 quarters.
• Valuation and growth data come from the company's SEC filings (XBRL data, latest quarter Jun 2026). P/E and price/sales use the latest close.
• Fund ownership uses SEC Form 13F filings for Q2 2026.
• Dilution uses share-count changes and offering-related SEC filings (shelf registrations, prospectus supplements, convertible notes) over two years, scored 0-100.
• History tracks 21-trading-day moves over about three years of daily closes, counted once per episode.