MPWR stock forecast and price prediction: what the data shows

Monolithic Power Systems logoLogo: trademark of Monolithic Power Systems, shown to identify the company. Image from Wikimedia Commons (Public domain).
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Earnings update: MPWRupdated 8:47 p.m. ET, Oct. 29 · refreshed every 15 minutes

MPWR was at $1198.81 in after-hours trading at 4:00 p.m. ET on Oct. 29, 0.0% from the $1198.81 close before the report.

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. reported fiscal Q3 2026 results on Oct. 29 after the close: revenue $1.20B vs $1.17B expected (+2.9%); earnings per share $8.19 vs $7.91 expected.

Results figures as reported by the company; prices from market data. The company's results filings (8-K) on SEC EDGAR → Not investment advice.

Price targets are educated guesses. The inputs behind them are public. CapitalSnitch does not publish price targets or predictions.

Below are the four that matter most for MPWR. They cover what analysts think and the next earnings report. They also cover how Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. has done against estimates and how much the stock has swung in the past.

The chart below tracks MPWR's daily closing price from May 5, 2026 to Oct. 29, 2026. Over that stretch it is down 24.3%, from $1,583.47 to $1,198.81. The high reached $1,684.95 on June 3, 2026. The low hit $1,140.12 on Oct. 23, 2026. Each red circle marks a week when company insiders sold shares on the open market. The period covers 12 weeks. Bigger circles mean more money. No green diamonds appear. No insider bought on the open market in this window.

MPWR share price and insider trades
Daily closing price, May 5, 2026 to Oct 29, 2026 · dots are open-market trades by company insiders (SEC Form 4), one per week
Latest
$1,198.81
Oct 29, 2026
Change
▼ -24.3%
since May 5, 2026
High
$1,684.95
Jun 3, 2026
Low
$1,140.12
Oct 23, 2026
$1,000$1,200$1,400$1,600Week of May 4, 2026: insiders sold $72.2M on the open market (2 trades)Week of May 11, 2026: insiders sold $18.7M on the open market (1 trade)Week of May 18, 2026: insiders sold $67.2M on the open market (2 trades)Week of May 25, 2026: insiders sold $13.7M on the open market (2 trades)Week of Jun 1, 2026: insiders sold $46K on the open market (1 trade)Week of Jun 29, 2026: insiders sold $41K on the open market (1 trade)Week of Jul 13, 2026: insiders sold $20.2M on the open market (1 trade)Week of Aug 3, 2026: insiders sold $181K on the open market (2 trades)Week of Aug 10, 2026: insiders sold $71K on the open market (1 trade)Week of Aug 17, 2026: insiders sold $8K on the open market (1 trade)Week of Aug 24, 2026: insiders sold $106K on the open market (1 trade)Week of Sep 28, 2026: insiders sold $40.3M on the open market (1 trade)May 5, 2026Oct 29, 2026JulAugSep
Share price Insider sales: $233.0M in 16 trades Insider buys: noneBigger dot = more money. Hover a dot or the line for details.

MPWR analyst consensus

Of 23 Wall Street analysts covering MPWR, 19 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. That is a consensus of Buy. Ratings are little changed over three months.

MPWR earnings track record

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. beat the analyst estimate in 3 of the last 4 quarters.

The table below shows MPWR earnings track record. June 30, 2026 has the highest surprise (+8.6%). Dec. 31, 2025 has the lowest (-0.6%). Sept. 30, 2026 ranks 2 of 4.

QuarterEPS reportedEPS expectedSurprise
2026-09-308.197.9065+3.6%
2026-06-306.55.9836+8.6%
2026-03-315.14.9932+2.1%
2025-12-314.794.8187-0.6%

Next MPWR earnings

The report is expected on Oct. 29, 2026. That is 0 days from now.

How much MPWR has swung before

Over the last three years, MPWR had 5 drops of 20% or more from a high. The deepest was down 51.6%.

Also worth knowing about MPWR

MPWR last closed at $1198.81 on Oct. 29, 2026. The weekly change is +2.6%.

Insiders sold $40.7 million over 90 days and bought none on the open market. Sales are often routine (taxes, pre-planned plans).

The dilution score is 0/100, which is low. Share count is up 2.6% over a year.

Live MPWR data, updated every 30 minutes: MPWR insider trades, ownership and filings →

In Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.'s own words

“Overall, we see accelerated growth. Our diversified growth strategy is paying off”

— Michael Hsing, CEO and founder of MPS · SEC filing

From the company's earnings release filed with the SEC on 2026-10-29 (Form 8-K).

What would change the picture for MPWR

These are the specific events and levels to watch. None of them is a prediction.

  • The Oct. 29, 2026 earnings report is 0 days away. Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. beat estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters. The average surprise is +3.4%. A miss would break that pattern.
  • An open-market purchase by an insider at Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. has not happened in 90 days. Form 4 filings would show one within two business days of the trade.
  • Analyst ratings: the average score moved from 4.2 to 4.13 over three months. The scale runs from 5 for strong buy to 1 for strong sell. A run of downgrades after earnings usually shows up here first.
  • Price levels: a close above $1684.95 would be a new 52-week high. That is 40.6% above the latest close of $1198.81. A close below $851.43 would be a new 52-week low. That is 29.0% below it.
  • Growth: revenue rose 28.7% year over year in the quarter ending Jun 2026. The trend is accelerating. At a P/E of 73.2, a slowdown would matter more than at a lower multiple.
  • New shares: dilution risk is low now. A new shelf registration (S-3) or a prospectus supplement (424B) for an offering would raise it.

MPWR history: what happened after similar moves

Since 2023, MPWR fell 11.0% or more in a month 11 times (separate episodes, not counting the current one). Three months later it was higher in 7 of 10 cases; the median change was +22.9%.

Past moves don't predict the next one; they show how volatile the stock has been.

Month endingMove in that month1 month later3 months later
2025-04-04-15.4%+30.5%+59.8%
2025-11-18-16.9%+8.5%+40.8%
2026-03-10-14.1%+26.6%+45.4%
2026-06-10-11.3%-12.2%-19.4%
2026-07-13-12.2%+8.6%+7.5%
2026-08-31-11.1%+6.4%not yet
The bottom line

CapitalSnitch does not publish price targets or predictions. Forecasts are usually built on analyst opinion, the next earnings report, the recent earnings track record and how much the stock usually swings.

Questions people also ask

What is MPWR's 52-week high and low?

Over the past year, MPWR closed as high as $1684.95 and as low as $851.43. At $1198.81 on Oct. 29, 2026, it is down 28.9% from the high and 40.8% above the low. More →

When does Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. report earnings next?

The next report is expected on Oct. 29, 2026. That is 0 days from now. Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. beat the average estimate in 3 of its last 4 reports.

Does MPWR pay a dividend?

Yes. The figure is $7.12 per share over the last 12 months. That is about 0.59% at today's price.

Is Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. profitable?

Yes. Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. had $3.3 billion of revenue over the last 12 months. The net margin is 24.5%. The P/E is 73.2.

Is Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. issuing new shares?

Dilution risk reads low at 0/100. The share count rose 2.6% in a year.

Are MPWR insiders buying or selling?

Insiders sold $40.7 million of MPWR on the open market in 90 days and bought none. Sales are often routine (taxes, diversification, pre-planned plans). Purchases with their own money are the stronger signal.

Dates to watch for MPWR

Insider trades can come any day: they must be filed on Form 4 within two business days.

DateEventWhy it matters
Thu Oct 29, 2026Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. earningsResults and guidance; the biggest scheduled event for the stock.
Mon Nov 16, 202613F filing deadlineFunds disclose what they held on 2026-09-30, including MPWR.
Fri Nov 20, 2026Monthly options expirationOften heavier trading and bigger swings in widely traded stocks.
Wed Dec 9, 2026Federal Reserve rate decisionMarket odds: 25% hold, 1% cut, 74% hike.

Key terms on this page

P/E ratio
Price divided by the last 12 months of earnings per share. A P/E of 20 means investors pay $20 for each $1 of yearly profit. It is only defined when the company is profitable.
Form 4
The SEC form a company's officers, directors and 10% owners must file within two business days of buying or selling its stock.
Open-market trade
A purchase or sale on the exchange at the market price, paid with the insider's own money (code P or S on Form 4), as opposed to option exercises, grants or gifts.
Dilution
When a company issues new shares, each existing share owns a smaller piece of the company. Common sources: stock offerings, convertible debt and large stock-based pay.
Form 8-K
The SEC form for material events between quarterly reports: earnings releases, deals, executive changes, stock offerings and similar news.
52-week high / low
The highest and lowest daily closing price over the past year (about 252 trading days).
Analyst consensus
The average of Wall Street analysts' ratings (strong buy to strong sell). Analysts skew positive, so a hold is often read as a cautious view.

Where these numbers come from

Every number on this page is computed from the data when the page is refreshed (usually daily); nothing is typed in by hand. This is information, not investment advice.

  • Price: daily closing prices run through Oct. 29, 2026. Changes use 5, 21 and 63 trading days. The 52-week range uses the last 252 closes.
  • Insider trades: SEC Form 4 filings cover the last 90 days. The count includes only open-market purchases (code P) and sales (code S). Option exercises, grants, gifts and filings with data errors are left out.
  • Analyst ratings: counts of current ratings come from 23 analysts. The comparison is with three months ago.
  • Earnings dates and estimates come from a market-data calendar. The data covers reported vs expected EPS for the last 4 quarters.
  • Valuation and growth data come from the company's SEC filings. The data includes revenue, earnings, margins and share counts. It uses XBRL data from the latest quarter, Jun 2026. P/E and price/sales use the latest close.
  • Fund ownership comes from SEC Form 13F filings for Q2 2026.
  • Dilution data covers share-count changes and offering-related SEC filings over two years. The filings include shelf registrations, prospectus supplements and convertible notes. The score runs from 0 to 100.
  • History covers 21-trading-day moves over about three years of daily closes. Each episode is counted once.
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How this article was made: it was generated from SEC filings and market data with automated tools and is published under Everett Sloan's editorial responsibility. Spotted an error? Tell us and we will correct it.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (Form 4, 8-K/6-K, prospectuses, XBRL share counts) and daily closing prices. Insider sales are often routine (taxes, diversification, pre-planned 10b5-1 plans). Not investment advice.

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