AMZN stock forecast and price prediction: what the data shows

Price targets are educated guesses, but the inputs behind them are public. CapitalSnitch doesn't publish price targets or predictions.

Below are the four that matter most for AMZN: what analysts think, the next earnings report, how Amazon Com Inc has done against estimates and how much the stock has swung in the past.

The chart below tracks AMZN's daily closing price from April 22, 2026 to Oct. 16, 2026. Over that stretch it is down 2.1%, from $255.36 to $250.00, with a high of $284.02 on Aug. 3, 2026 and a low of $226.65 on July 29, 2026. Each red circle marks a week in which company insiders sold shares on the open market (12 weeks in this period; bigger circles mean more money). There are no green diamonds: no insider bought on the open market in this window.

AMZN analyst consensus

Of 74 Wall Street analysts covering AMZN, 69 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell — a consensus of Buy. Ratings are little changed over three months.

AMZN earnings track record

Amazon Com Inc beat the analyst estimate in 2 of the last 4 quarters.

The table below shows AMZN earnings track record. Sept. 30, 2025 has the highest surprise (+21.5%) and Dec. 31, 2025 the lowest (-3.6%). June 30, 2026 ranks 2 of 4.

Next AMZN earnings

Expected on Oct. 29, 2026 (10 days from now).

How much AMZN has swung before

Over the last three years AMZN had 2 drops of 20% or more from a high; the deepest was down 30.9%.

Also worth knowing about AMZN

Live AMZN data, updated every 30 minutes: AMZN insider trades, ownership and filings →

In Amazon Com Inc's own words

“AWS is booming, growing 36.7% year-over-year in Q2—our fastest growth in 18 quarters—and our AI and Chips businesses each eclipsed run rates of more than $25 billion”

— Andy Jassy, President and CEO, Amazon · SEC filing

From the company's earnings release filed with the SEC on 2026-07-30 (Form 8-K).

What would change the picture for AMZN

These are the specific events and levels to watch. None of them is a prediction.

• The Oct. 29, 2026 earnings report (10 days away). Amazon Com Inc beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters (average surprise +5.1%); a miss would break that pattern.
• An open-market purchase by an insider at Amazon Com Inc. There has been none in 90 days; Form 4 filings would show one within two business days of the trade.
• Analyst ratings: the average score moved from 4.22 to 4.2 over three months (on a scale where 5 is strong buy and 1 is strong sell). A run of downgrades after earnings usually shows up here first.
• Price levels: a close above $284.02 would be a new 52-week high, 13.6% above the latest close of $250.0; a close below $198.79 would be a new 52-week low, 20.5% below it.
• Growth: revenue rose 15.8% year over year in the quarter ending Jun 2026 (trend: accelerating). At a P/E of 20.1, a slowdown would matter more than at a lower multiple.
• New shares: dilution risk is moderate now. A new shelf registration (S-3) or a prospectus supplement (424B) for an offering would raise it.

How AMZN compares with its peers

Over the past month AMZN ranks 4 of 5 in this group (-0.5%); the best was MSFT (+6.3%) and the weakest GOOGL (-1.9%).

AMZN's P/E of 20.1 is below the peers' median of 28.1, so investors pay less for each dollar of its profit.

AMZN history: what happened after similar moves

Since 2023, AMZN fell 10% or more in a month 7 times (separate episodes, not counting the current one). Three months later it was higher in 5 of 6 cases; the median change was +13.4%.

Past moves don't predict the next one; they show how volatile the stock has been.

Questions people also ask

What is AMZN's 52-week high and low?

Over the past year AMZN closed as high as $284.02 and as low as $198.79. At $250.0 (Oct. 16, 2026) it is down 12.0% from the high and 25.8% above the low. More →

When does Amazon Com Inc report earnings next?

The next report is expected on Oct. 29, 2026, 10 days from now. Amazon Com Inc beat the average estimate in 2 of its last 4 reports.

Is Amazon Com Inc issuing new shares?

Dilution risk reads moderate (35/100); the share count rose 1.1% in a year. That is based on 1 offering-related filing(s) in 12 months.

Does AMZN pay a dividend?

Amazon Com Inc reported no dividend payments over the last 12 months in its SEC filings.

Who is the largest shareholder of AMZN?

Among investment managers that file Form 13F, BlackRock Inc. reported the largest AMZN position ($178.4 billion). 6123 institutions reported holding AMZN for Q2 2026.

Is Amazon Com Inc profitable?

Yes. Amazon Com Inc had $775.7 billion of revenue over the last 12 months with a net margin of 17.4% and a P/E of 20.1.

Dates to watch for AMZN

Insider trades can come any day: they must be filed on Form 4 within two business days.

Key terms on this page

P/E ratio

Price divided by the last 12 months of earnings per share. A P/E of 20 means investors pay $20 for each $1 of yearly profit. It is only defined when the company is profitable.

Form 4

The SEC form a company's officers, directors and 10% owners must file within two business days of buying or selling its stock.

Open-market trade

A purchase or sale on the exchange at the market price, paid with the insider's own money (code P or S on Form 4), as opposed to option exercises, grants or gifts.

Form 13F

A quarterly SEC report listing the U.S. stock holdings of every investment manager with more than $100 million. It is due 45 days after each quarter ends, so it shows positions with a delay.

Dilution

When a company issues new shares, each existing share owns a smaller piece of the company. Common sources: stock offerings, convertible debt and large stock-based pay.

Form 8-K

The SEC form for material events between quarterly reports: earnings releases, deals, executive changes, stock offerings and similar news.

52-week high / low

The highest and lowest daily closing price over the past year (about 252 trading days).

Where these numbers come from

Every number on this page is computed from the data when the page is refreshed (usually daily); nothing is typed in by hand. This is information, not investment advice.

• Price: daily closing prices through Oct. 16, 2026; changes use 5, 21 and 63 trading days; the 52-week range uses the last 252 closes.
• Insider trades: SEC Form 4 filings for the last 90 days, counting only open-market purchases (code P) and sales (code S); option exercises, grants, gifts and filings with data errors are left out.
• Analyst ratings: counts of current ratings from 74 analysts, compared with three months ago.
• Earnings dates and estimates: a market-data calendar; reported vs expected EPS for the last 4 quarters.
• Valuation and growth: revenue, earnings, margins and share counts from the company's SEC filings (XBRL data, latest quarter Jun 2026); P/E and price/sales use the latest close.
• Fund ownership: SEC Form 13F filings for Q2 2026.
• Dilution: share-count changes and offering-related SEC filings (shelf registrations, prospectus supplements, convertible notes) over two years, scored 0-100.
• History: 21-trading-day moves over about three years of daily closes, counted once per episode.