Will STX stock recover?

STX is down 32.8% from its 3-month high and 38.9% from its 52-week high. Nobody can say if it climbs back. The stock's own history offers useful context.

Below are STX's past drops of 20% or more, how deep each one went and how long the comeback took.

The chart below tracks STX's daily closing price from May 1, 2026 to Oct. 27, 2026. Over that stretch it is down 8.0%, from $725.80 to $667.85. The high reached $1,092.33 on June 22, 2026. The low hit $630.49 on Oct. 23, 2026. Each red circle marks a week in which company insiders sold shares on the open market (18 weeks in this period; bigger circles mean more money). There are no green diamonds: no insider bought on the open market in this window.

STX's past 20%+ drops and recoveries

The table below shows STX's past 20%+ drops and recoveries. Jan. 29, 2026 has the highest drop (-21.0%). June 22, 2026 shows the lowest (-42.3%).

Also worth knowing about STX

Live STX data, updated every 30 minutes: STX insider trades, ownership and filings →

In Seagate Technology Holdings plc's own words

“Seagate delivered another quarter of record profitability and our highest ever free cash flow in the September quarter, demonstrating the earnings power of our business amid a strengthening demand environment”

— Dave Mosley, Seagate's chair and chief executive officer · SEC filing

From the company's earnings release filed with the SEC on 2026-10-27 (Form 8-K).

What would change the picture for STX

These are the specific events and levels to watch. None of them is a prediction.

• The Oct. 27, 2026 earnings report is 0 days away. Seagate Technology Holdings plc beat estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters (average surprise +9.7%). A miss would break that pattern.
• Insider buying: none on the open market in 90 days. A purchase by an executive or director would be the first in at least three months. It would show up on SEC Form 4 within two business days.
• Analyst ratings: the average score moved from 4.1 to 4.1 over three months. The scale runs from 5 for strong buy to 1 for strong sell. A run of downgrades after earnings usually shows up here first.
• Price levels: a close above $1092.33 would be a new 52-week high, 63.6% above the latest close of $667.85. A close below $221.68 would be a new 52-week low, 66.8% below it.
• Growth: revenue rose 34.1% year over year in the quarter ending Jul 2026 (trend: accelerating). At a P/E of 48.0, a slowdown would matter more than at a lower multiple.
• New shares: dilution risk is moderate now. A new shelf registration (S-3) or a prospectus supplement (424B) for an offering would raise it.

STX history: how unusual is this move?

Since 2023, STX never fell 27.5% or more in a month before the current period, so there is no close precedent in its recent price history.

Questions people also ask

Do analysts think STX is a buy?

26 of the 30 analysts who cover Seagate Technology Holdings plc rate it a buy or strong buy, for a consensus of Buy. Ratings describe analysts' views, not a guarantee. They change after earnings. More →

When does Seagate Technology Holdings plc report earnings next?

The next report is expected on Oct. 27, 2026, 0 days from now. Seagate Technology Holdings plc beat the average estimate in all 4 of the last 4 reports.

Is Seagate Technology Holdings plc issuing new shares?

Dilution risk reads moderate (40/100). The share count rose 6.6% in a year. That is based on 4 offering-related filing(s) in 12 months.

Are STX insiders buying or selling?

Insiders sold $379.2 million of STX on the open market in 90 days and bought none. Sales are often routine (taxes, diversification, pre-planned plans). Purchases with their own money are the stronger signal.

Does STX pay a dividend?

Yes: $2.94 per share over the last 12 months, about 0.44% at today's price.

Is Seagate Technology Holdings plc profitable?

Yes. Seagate Technology Holdings plc had $12.2 billion of revenue over the last 12 months with a net margin of 26.1% and a P/E of 48.0.

Dates to watch for STX

Insider trades can come any day: they must be filed on Form 4 within two business days.

Key terms on this page

P/E ratio

Price divided by the last 12 months of earnings per share. A P/E of 20 means investors pay $20 for each $1 of yearly profit. It is only defined when the company is profitable.

Form 4

The SEC form a company's officers, directors and 10% owners must file within two business days of buying or selling its stock.

Open-market trade

A purchase or sale on the exchange at the market price, paid with the insider's own money (code P or S on Form 4), as opposed to option exercises, grants or gifts.

Dilution

When a company issues new shares, each existing share owns a smaller piece of the company. Common sources: stock offerings, convertible debt and large stock-based pay.

Form 8-K

The SEC form for material events between quarterly reports: earnings releases, deals, executive changes, stock offerings and similar news.

52-week high / low

The highest and lowest daily closing price over the past year (about 252 trading days).

Analyst consensus

The average of Wall Street analysts' ratings (strong buy to strong sell). Analysts skew positive, so a hold is often read as a cautious view.

Where these numbers come from

Every number on this page is computed from the data when the page is refreshed (usually daily); nothing is typed in by hand. This is information, not investment advice.

• Price: daily closing prices through Oct. 27, 2026. Changes use 5, 21 and 63 trading days. The 52-week range uses the last 252 closes.
• Insider trades: SEC Form 4 filings for the last 90 days, counting only open-market purchases (code P) and sales (code S). Option exercises, grants, gifts and filings with data errors are left out.
• Analyst ratings: counts of current ratings from 30 analysts, compared with three months ago.
• Earnings dates and estimates: a market-data calendar. It shows reported vs expected EPS for the last 4 quarters.
• Valuation and growth: revenue, earnings, margins and share counts from the company's SEC filings (XBRL data, latest quarter Jul 2026). P/E and price/sales use the latest close.
• Fund ownership: SEC Form 13F filings for Q2 2026.
• Dilution: share-count changes and offering-related SEC filings (shelf registrations, prospectus supplements, convertible notes) over two years, scored 0-100.
• History: 21-trading-day moves over about three years of daily closes, counted once per episode.