Will NVDA stock recover?

NVDA's past 20%+ drops and recoveries

Also worth knowing about NVDA

Live NVDA data, updated every 30 minutes: NVDA insider trades, ownership and filings →

What would change the picture for NVDA

These are the specific events and levels to watch. None of them is a prediction.

• The 2026-11-17 earnings report (31 days away). Nvidia Corp beat estimates in 4 of the last 4 quarters (average surprise +3.4%); a miss would break that pattern.
• Insider buying: none on the open market in 90 days. A purchase by an executive or director would be the first in at least three months, and it would show up on SEC Form 4 within two business days.
• Analyst ratings: the average score moved from 4.26 to 4.28 over three months (1 = strong buy, 5 = strong sell). A run of downgrades after earnings usually shows up here first.
• Price levels: a close above $239.24 would be a new 52-week high (+11.7% from here); a close below $164.79 would be a new 52-week low (-23.0%).
• Growth: revenue changed +83.4% year over year in the quarter ending Jul 2026 (trend: accelerating). At a P/E of 27.1, a slowdown would matter more than at a lower multiple.
• New shares: dilution risk is low now. A new shelf registration (S-3) or a prospectus supplement (424B) for an offering would raise it.

How NVDA compares with its peers

Over the past month NVDA ranks 3 of 6 in this group (-2.4%); the best was MSFT (+6.3%) and the weakest AVGO (-5.2%).

NVDA's P/E of 27.1 is below the peers' median of 29.5, so investors pay less for each dollar of its profit.

NVDA history: what happened after similar moves

Since 2023, NVDA fell 10% or more in a month 11 times (separate episodes, not counting the current one). Three months later it was higher in 9 of 11 cases; the median change was +15.0%.

Past moves don't predict the next one; they show how volatile the stock has been.

Questions people also ask

Do analysts think NVDA is a buy?

65 of the 69 analysts who cover Nvidia Corp rate it a buy or strong buy, for a consensus of Buy. Ratings describe analysts' views, not a guarantee, and they change after earnings. More →

When does Nvidia Corp report earnings next?

The next report is expected on 2026-11-17, 31 days from now. Nvidia Corp beat the average estimate in 4 of its last 4 reports.

Are NVDA insiders buying or selling?

Insiders sold $967.6M of NVDA on the open market in 90 days and bought none. Sales are often routine (taxes, diversification, pre-planned plans); purchases with their own money are the stronger signal.

Does NVDA pay a dividend?

Yes: $0 per share over the last 12 months, about 0.13% at today's price.

Is Nvidia Corp profitable?

Yes. Nvidia Corp had $303.0B of revenue over the last 12 months with a net margin of 63.7% and a P/E of 27.1.

Who is the largest shareholder of NVDA?

Among investment managers that file Form 13F, BlackRock Inc. reported the largest NVDA position ($388.6B). 5957 institutions reported holding NVDA for Q2 2026.

Dates to watch for NVDA

Insider trades can come any day: they must be filed on Form 4 within two business days.

Key terms on this page

P/E ratio

Price divided by the last 12 months of earnings per share. A P/E of 20 means investors pay $20 for each $1 of yearly profit. It is only defined when the company is profitable.

Form 4

The SEC form a company's officers, directors and 10% owners must file within two business days of buying or selling its stock.

Open-market trade

A purchase or sale on the exchange at the market price, paid with the insider's own money (code P or S on Form 4), as opposed to option exercises, grants or gifts.

Form 13F

A quarterly SEC report listing the U.S. stock holdings of every investment manager with more than $100 million. It is due 45 days after each quarter ends, so it shows positions with a delay.

Dilution

When a company issues new shares, each existing share owns a smaller piece of the company. Common sources: stock offerings, convertible debt and large stock-based pay.

52-week high / low

The highest and lowest daily closing price over the past year (about 252 trading days).

Analyst consensus

The average of Wall Street analysts' ratings (strong buy to strong sell). Analysts skew positive, so a hold is often read as a cautious view.

Where these numbers come from

Every number on this page is computed from the data when the page is refreshed (usually daily); nothing is typed in by hand. This is information, not investment advice.

• Price: daily closing prices through 2026-10-16; changes use 5, 21 and 63 trading days; the 52-week range uses the last 252 closes.
• Insider trades: SEC Form 4 filings for the last 90 days, counting only open-market purchases (code P) and sales (code S); option exercises, grants, gifts and filings with data errors are left out.
• Analyst ratings: counts of current ratings from 69 analysts, compared with three months ago.
• Earnings dates and estimates: a market-data calendar; reported vs expected EPS for the last 4 quarters.
• Valuation and growth: revenue, earnings, margins and share counts from the company's SEC filings (XBRL data, latest quarter Jul 2026); P/E and price/sales use the latest close.
• Fund ownership: SEC Form 13F filings for Q2 2026.
• Dilution: share-count changes and offering-related SEC filings (shelf registrations, prospectus supplements, convertible notes) over two years, scored 0-100.
• History: 21-trading-day moves over about three years of daily closes, counted once per episode.