Will COIN stock recover?

COIN is down 20.1% from its 3-month high and 53.9% from its 52-week high. Nobody knows if it will climb back, but the stock's own history offers useful context.

Below are COIN's past drops of 20% or more, how deep each one went and how long the comeback took.

The chart below tracks COIN's daily closing price from May 5, 2026 to Oct. 29, 2026. Over that stretch it fell 18.8%, from $197.75 to $160.59. The high was $216.60 on May 11, 2026; the low was $142.52 on June 25, 2026. Red circles mark weeks when insiders sold shares on the open market (11 weeks; bigger circles mean more money). No green diamonds appear: no insider bought on the open market in this window.

COIN's past 20%+ drops and recoveries

The table below shows COIN's past 20%+ drops and recoveries. Dec. 28, 2023 has the highest drop (-37.1%) and July 18, 2025 the lowest (-66.4%).

Also worth knowing about COIN

Live COIN data, updated every 30 minutes: COIN insider trades, ownership and filings →

What would change the picture for COIN

These are the specific events and levels to watch. None of them is a prediction.

• The Oct. 29, 2026 earnings report (0 days away). Coinbase Global, Inc. beat estimates in 1 of the last 4 quarters (average surprise -343.9%); a miss would break that pattern.
• Insider buying: none on the open market in 90 days. A purchase by an executive or director would be the first in at least three months. It would show up on SEC Form 4 within two business days.
• Analyst ratings: the average score moved from 3.82 to 3.84 over three months. On that scale, 5 is strong buy and 1 is strong sell. A run of downgrades after earnings usually shows up here first.
• Price levels: a close above $348.61 would be a new 52-week high, 117.1% above the latest close of $160.59. A close below $141.09 would be a new 52-week low, 12.1% below it.
• Growth: revenue fell 26.6% year over year in the quarter ending Sep 2026 (trend: slowing).
• New shares: dilution risk is low now. A new shelf registration (S-3) or a prospectus supplement (424B) for an offering would raise it.

How COIN compares with its peers

Over the past month COIN ranks 3 of 4 in this group (-13.9%); the best was IBKR (-3.1%) and the weakest HOOD (-21.3%).

A dash in the P/E column means the company lost money over the last 12 months, so it has no P/E.

COIN history: what happened after similar moves

Since 2023, COIN fell 13.9% or more in a month 14 times (separate episodes, not counting the current one). Three months later it was higher in 8 of 14 cases; the median change was +7.8%.

Past moves don't predict the next one; they show how volatile the stock has been.

Questions people also ask

Do analysts think COIN is a buy?

32 of the 45 analysts who cover Coinbase Global, Inc. rate it a buy or strong buy, for a consensus of Buy. Ratings describe analysts' views, not a guarantee, and they change after earnings. More →

When does Coinbase Global, Inc. report earnings next?

The next report is expected on Oct. 29, 2026, 0 days from now. Coinbase Global, Inc. beat the average estimate in 1 of its last 4 reports.

Is Coinbase Global, Inc. profitable?

Not over the last 12 months: Coinbase Global, Inc. had $5.6 billion of revenue but a net loss (net margin -12.5%).

Is Coinbase Global, Inc. issuing new shares?

Dilution risk reads low (20/100); the share count fell 1.4% in a year.

Are COIN insiders buying or selling?

Insiders sold $23 million of COIN on the open market in 90 days and bought none. Sales are often routine (taxes, diversification, pre-planned plans); purchases with their own money are the stronger signal.

Who is the largest shareholder of COIN?

Among investment managers that file Form 13F, BlackRock Inc. reported the largest COIN position ($2.4 billion). 1115 institutions reported holding COIN for Q2 2026.

Dates to watch for COIN

Insider trades can come any day: they must be filed on Form 4 within two business days.

Key terms on this page

P/E ratio

Price divided by the last 12 months of earnings per share. A P/E of 20 means investors pay $20 for each $1 of yearly profit. It is only defined when the company is profitable.

Form 4

The SEC form a company's officers, directors and 10% owners must file within two business days of buying or selling its stock.

Open-market trade

A purchase or sale on the exchange at the market price, paid with the insider's own money (code P or S on Form 4), as opposed to option exercises, grants or gifts.

Form 13F

A quarterly SEC report listing the U.S. stock holdings of every investment manager with more than $100 million. It is due 45 days after each quarter ends, so it shows positions with a delay.

Dilution

When a company issues new shares, each existing share owns a smaller piece of the company. Common sources: stock offerings, convertible debt and large stock-based pay.

52-week high / low

The highest and lowest daily closing price over the past year (about 252 trading days).

Analyst consensus

The average of Wall Street analysts' ratings (strong buy to strong sell). Analysts skew positive, so a hold is often read as a cautious view.

Where these numbers come from

Every number on this page is computed from the data when the page is refreshed (usually daily); nothing is typed in by hand. This is information, not investment advice.

• Price: daily closing prices through Oct. 29, 2026; changes use 5, 21 and 63 trading days; the 52-week range uses the last 252 closes.
• Insider trades: SEC Form 4 filings for the last 90 days, counting only open-market purchases (code P) and sales (code S). Option exercises, grants, gifts and filings with data errors do not count.
• Analyst ratings: counts of current ratings from 45 analysts, compared with three months ago.
• Earnings dates and estimates: a market-data calendar; reported vs expected EPS for the last 4 quarters.
• Valuation and growth: revenue, earnings, margins and share counts from the company's SEC filings (XBRL data, latest quarter Sep 2026). P/E and price/sales use the latest close.
• Fund ownership: SEC Form 13F filings for Q2 2026.
• Dilution: share-count changes and offering-related SEC filings (shelf registrations, prospectus supplements, convertible notes) over two years, scored 0-100.
• History: 21-trading-day moves over about three years of daily closes, counted once per episode.