Will AMAT stock recover after today's 3.6% drop?

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Earnings update: AMATupdated 9:47 p.m. ET, Nov. 12 · refreshed every 15 minutes

AMAT was at $380.95 in after-hours trading at 4:00 p.m. ET on Nov. 12, 0.0% from the $380.95 close before the report.

Applied Materials Inc reported fiscal Q4 2026 results on Nov. 12 after the close: revenue $10.41B vs $10.50B expected (-0.9%); earnings per share $4.16 vs $4.13 expected.

Results figures as reported by the company; prices from market data. The company's results filings (8-K) on SEC EDGAR → Not investment advice.

Today's price action

AMAT closed down 3.6% at $380.95 on Thursday, Nov. 12, snapping a four-day winning streak (+23.8%), while the Nasdaq-100 (QQQ) was little changed. Over five trading days it is up 19.3%, and 29.8% below its three-month high.

Updated every 30 minutes while the market is open. Not investment advice.

AMAT is down 29.8% from its 3-month high and 47.3% from its 52-week high. Whether it climbs back is something nobody can know, but the stock's own history offers useful context.

Below are AMAT's past drops of 20% or more, how deep each one went and how long the comeback took.

The chart below tracks AMAT's daily closing price from May 19, 2026 to Nov. 12, 2026. Over that stretch it is down 6.2%, from $405.97 to $380.95, with a high of $722.23 on June 30, 2026 and a low of $319.25 on Nov. 5, 2026. Each red circle marks a week in which company insiders sold shares on the open market (8 weeks in this period; bigger circles mean more money). There are no green diamonds: no insider bought on the open market in this window.

AMAT share price and insider trades
Daily closing price, May 19, 2026 to Nov 12, 2026 · dots are open-market trades by company insiders (SEC Form 4), one per week
Latest
$380.95
Nov 12, 2026
Change
▼ -6.2%
since May 19, 2026
High
$722.23
Jun 30, 2026
Low
$319.25
Nov 5, 2026
$200$400$600$800Week of May 18, 2026: insiders sold $116K on the open market (1 trade)Week of May 25, 2026: insiders sold $508K on the open market (1 trade)Week of Jun 1, 2026: insiders sold $26.5M on the open market (2 trades)Week of Jun 15, 2026: insiders sold $87.0M on the open market (3 trades)Week of Jun 29, 2026: insiders sold $55.6M on the open market (2 trades)Week of Aug 24, 2026: insiders sold $3.6M on the open market (1 trade)Week of Sep 7, 2026: insiders sold $465K on the open market (1 trade)Week of Sep 28, 2026: insiders sold $395K on the open market (1 trade)May 19, 2026Nov 12, 2026AugSep
Share price Insider sales: $174.1M in 12 trades Insider buys: noneBigger dot = more money. Hover a dot or the line for details.

AMAT's past 20%+ drops and recoveries

The table below shows AMAT's past 20%+ drops and recoveries.

PeakLowDropBack to the peak
2024-07-102025-04-04-49.9%164 trading days (2025-11-28)
2026-06-302026-11-05-55.8%not yet

Also worth knowing about AMAT

Insiders sold $4.5 million over 90 days and bought none on the open market; sales are often routine (taxes, pre-planned plans).

Dilution risk: low (0/100). Share count down 0.4% over a year.

Live AMAT data, updated every 30 minutes: AMAT insider trades, ownership and filings →

In Applied Materials Inc's own words

“Applied Materials delivered record results in fiscal 2026, and we are on track to grow our Semiconductor Systems business more than 40 percent in our calendar 2026”

— Gary Dickerson, President and CEO · SEC filing

From the company's earnings release filed with the SEC on 2026-11-12 (Form 8-K).

What would change the picture for AMAT

These are the specific events and levels to watch. None of them is a prediction.

  • Insider buying: none on the open market in 90 days. A purchase by an executive or director would be the first in at least three months, and it would show up on SEC Form 4 within two business days.
  • Analyst ratings: the average score moved from 4.11 to 4.13 over three months (on a scale where 5 is strong buy and 1 is strong sell). A run of downgrades after earnings usually shows up here first.
  • Price levels: a close above $722.23 would be a new 52-week high, 89.6% above the latest close of $380.95; a close below $219.45 would be a new 52-week low, 42.4% below it.
  • Growth: revenue rose 7.8% year over year in the quarter ending Jul 2026 (trend: accelerating). At a P/E of 32.9, a slowdown would matter more than at a lower multiple.
  • New shares: dilution risk is low now. A new shelf registration (S-3) or a prospectus supplement (424B) for an offering would raise it.

AMAT history: what happened after similar moves

Since 2023, AMAT fell 14.7% or more in a month 6 times (separate episodes, not counting the current one). Three months later it was higher in 3 of 5 cases; the median change was +3.7%.

Past moves don't predict the next one; they show how volatile the stock has been.

Month endingMove in that month1 month later3 months later
2024-07-19-15.2%+0.3%-12.7%
2025-03-03-16.1%-4.3%+3.7%
2025-04-04-16.2%+20.5%+54.0%
2025-08-15-16.0%+7.6%+38.4%
2026-07-27-22.6%-7.0%-26.9%
2026-09-02-19.7%+23.2%not yet
The bottom line

AMAT is down 29.8% from its 3-month high and 47.3% from its 52-week high. Nobody knows if or when it will recover; history only shows how past drops played out.

In the last three years, 1 drop of 20% or more fully recovered, after about 164 trading days on average.

Questions people also ask

Do analysts think AMAT is a buy?

39 of the 45 analysts who cover Applied Materials Inc rate it a buy or strong buy, for a consensus of Buy. Ratings describe analysts' views, not a guarantee, and they change after earnings. More →

Are AMAT insiders buying or selling?

Insiders sold $4.5 million of AMAT on the open market in 90 days and bought none. Sales are often routine (taxes, diversification, pre-planned plans); purchases with their own money are the stronger signal.

Is Applied Materials Inc issuing new shares?

Dilution risk reads low (0/100); the share count fell 0.4% in a year.

Who is the largest shareholder of AMAT?

Among investment managers that file Form 13F, West Michigan Advisors, LLC reported the largest AMAT position ($2.5 million). 1 institutions reported holding AMAT for Q2 2026.

Does AMAT pay a dividend?

Yes: $1.98 per share over the last 12 months, about 0.52% at today's price.

Is Applied Materials Inc profitable?

Yes. Applied Materials Inc had $30.8 billion of revenue over the last 12 months with a net margin of 30.1% and a P/E of 32.9.

Dates to watch for AMAT

Insider trades can come any day: they must be filed on Form 4 within two business days.

DateEventWhy it matters
Mon Nov 16, 202613F filing deadlineFunds disclose what they held on 2026-09-30, including AMAT.
Fri Nov 20, 2026Monthly options expirationOften heavier trading and bigger swings in widely traded stocks.
Wed Dec 9, 2026Federal Reserve rate decisionMarket odds: 2% hold, 1% cut, 96% hike.

Key terms on this page

P/E ratio
Price divided by the last 12 months of earnings per share. A P/E of 20 means investors pay $20 for each $1 of yearly profit. It is only defined when the company is profitable.
Form 4
The SEC form a company's officers, directors and 10% owners must file within two business days of buying or selling its stock.
Open-market trade
A purchase or sale on the exchange at the market price, paid with the insider's own money (code P or S on Form 4), as opposed to option exercises, grants or gifts.
Form 13F
A quarterly SEC report listing the U.S. stock holdings of every investment manager with more than $100 million. It is due 45 days after each quarter ends, so it shows positions with a delay.
Dilution
When a company issues new shares, each existing share owns a smaller piece of the company. Common sources: stock offerings, convertible debt and large stock-based pay.
Form 8-K
The SEC form for material events between quarterly reports: earnings releases, deals, executive changes, stock offerings and similar news.
52-week high / low
The highest and lowest daily closing price over the past year (about 252 trading days).

Where these numbers come from

Every number on this page is computed from the data when the page is refreshed (usually daily); nothing is typed in by hand. This is information, not investment advice.

  • Price: daily closing prices through Nov. 12, 2026; changes use 5, 21 and 63 trading days; the 52-week range uses the last 252 closes.
  • Insider trades: SEC Form 4 filings for the last 90 days, counting only open-market purchases (code P) and sales (code S); option exercises, grants, gifts and filings with data errors are left out.
  • Analyst ratings: counts of current ratings from 45 analysts, compared with three months ago.
  • Earnings dates and estimates: a market-data calendar; reported vs expected EPS for the last 4 quarters.
  • Valuation and growth: revenue, earnings, margins and share counts from the company's SEC filings (XBRL data, latest quarter Jul 2026); P/E and price/sales use the latest close.
  • Fund ownership: SEC Form 13F filings for Q2 2026.
  • Dilution: share-count changes and offering-related SEC filings (shelf registrations, prospectus supplements, convertible notes) over two years, scored 0-100.
  • History: 21-trading-day moves over about three years of daily closes, counted once per episode.
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How this article was made: it was generated from SEC filings and market data with automated tools and is published under Marcus Ellery's editorial responsibility. Spotted an error? Tell us and we will correct it.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (Form 4, 8-K/6-K, prospectuses, XBRL share counts) and daily closing prices. Insider sales are often routine (taxes, diversification, pre-planned 10b5-1 plans). Not investment advice.

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