TXN stock forecast and price prediction: what the data shows

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Earnings update: TXNupdated 12:32 a.m. ET, Oct. 22 · refreshed every 15 minutes

TXN was at $284.65 in after-hours trading at 4:00 p.m. ET on Oct. 21, 0.0% from the $284.65 close before the report.

Texas Instruments Inc reported fiscal Q3 2026 results on Oct. 21 after the close: revenue $6.05B vs $5.98B expected (+1.3%); earnings per share $2.62 vs $2.44 expected.

Results figures as reported by the company; prices from market data. The company's results filings (8-K) on SEC EDGAR → Not investment advice.

Price targets are educated guesses, but the inputs behind them are public. CapitalSnitch doesn't publish price targets or predictions.

Below are the four that matter most for TXN. They cover analyst views and the next earnings report. They also cover how Texas Instruments Inc has done against estimates and how much the stock has swung in the past.

The chart below tracks TXN's daily closing price from April 27, 2026 to Oct. 21, 2026. Over that stretch it is up 6.7%, from $266.77 to $284.65, with a high of $330.58 on June 22, 2026 and a low of $253.34 on Sept. 1, 2026. Each red circle marks a week in which company insiders sold shares on the open market (5 weeks in this period; bigger circles mean more money). There are no green diamonds: no insider bought on the open market in this window.

TXN share price and insider trades
Daily closing price, Apr 27, 2026 to Oct 21, 2026 · dots are open-market trades by company insiders (SEC Form 4), one per week
Latest
$284.65
Oct 21, 2026
Change
▲ +6.7%
since Apr 27, 2026
High
$330.58
Jun 22, 2026
Low
$253.34
Sep 1, 2026
$240$260$280$300$320$340Week of Apr 27, 2026: insiders sold $30.9M on the open market (4 trades)Week of May 4, 2026: insiders sold $5.6M on the open market (1 trade)Week of May 11, 2026: insiders sold $20.4M on the open market (3 trades)Week of May 25, 2026: insiders sold $3.2M on the open market (1 trade)Week of Aug 24, 2026: insiders sold $1.9M on the open market (1 trade)Apr 27, 2026Oct 21, 2026JulAug
Share price Insider sales: $62.0M in 10 trades Insider buys: noneBigger dot = more money. Hover a dot or the line for details.

TXN analyst consensus

Of 43 Wall Street analysts covering TXN, 21 rate it a buy, 19 a hold and 3 a sell — a consensus of Hold. Ratings are little changed over three months.

TXN earnings track record

Texas Instruments Inc beat the analyst estimate in 3 of the last 4 quarters.

The table below shows TXN earnings track record. March 31, 2026 has the highest surprise (+21.6%) and Dec. 31, 2025 the lowest (-2.8%). Sept. 30, 2026 ranks 3 of 4.

QuarterEPS reportedEPS expectedSurprise
2026-09-302.622.4415+7.3%
2026-06-302.141.9543+9.5%
2026-03-311.681.3815+21.6%
2025-12-311.271.3062-2.8%

How much TXN has swung before

Over the last three years TXN had 3 drops of 20% or more from a high; the deepest was down 33.4%.

Also worth knowing about TXN

TXN last closed at $284.65 (Oct. 21, 2026), +1.4% on the week.

Insiders sold $1.9 million over 90 days and bought none on the open market; sales are often routine (taxes, pre-planned plans).

On share issuance, the dilution score is 10/100 (low). Share count up 0.5% over a year.

Live TXN data, updated every 30 minutes: TXN insider trades, ownership and filings →

What would change the picture for TXN

These are the specific events and levels to watch. None of them is a prediction.

  • An open-market purchase by an insider at Texas Instruments Inc. There has been none in 90 days; Form 4 filings would show one within two business days of the trade.
  • Analyst ratings: the average score moved from 3.49 to 3.56 over three months. The scale runs from 1 for strong sell to 5 for strong buy. A run of downgrades after earnings usually shows up here first.
  • Price levels: a close above $330.58 would be a new 52-week high. That level is 16.1% above the latest close of $284.65. A close below $150.78 would be a new 52-week low, 47.0% below it.
  • Growth: revenue rose 16.7% year over year in the quarter ending Jun 2026 (trend: accelerating). At a P/E of 43.3, a slowdown would matter more than at a lower multiple.
  • New shares: dilution risk is low now. A new shelf registration (S-3) or a prospectus supplement (424B) for an offering would raise it.

TXN history: what happened after similar moves

Since 2023, TXN fell 10% or more in a month 10 times (separate episodes, not counting the current one). Three months later it was higher in 5 of 9 cases; the median change was +13.5%.

Past moves don't predict the next one; they show how volatile the stock has been.

Month endingMove in that month1 month later3 months later
2025-07-31-13.3%+11.8%-11.5%
2025-09-19-10.7%+0.1%-0.9%
2025-10-29-12.8%+5.9%+36.6%
2026-03-04-10.1%-3.7%+53.2%
2026-06-26-10.1%-2.9%-2.1%
2026-09-02-10.2%+15.3%not yet
The bottom line

CapitalSnitch doesn't publish price targets or predictions. Forecasts usually rest on analyst opinion, the next earnings report, the recent earnings track record and how much the stock usually swings.

Questions people also ask

What is TXN's 52-week high and low?

Over the past year TXN closed as high as $330.58 and as low as $150.78. At $284.65 (Oct. 21, 2026) it is down 13.9% from the high and 88.8% above the low.

Are TXN insiders buying or selling?

Insiders sold $1.9 million of TXN on the open market in 90 days and bought none. Sales are often routine (taxes, diversification, pre-planned plans); purchases with their own money are the stronger signal.

Does TXN pay a dividend?

Yes: $5.62 per share over the last 12 months, about 1.97% at today's price.

Is Texas Instruments Inc issuing new shares?

Dilution risk reads low (10/100); the share count rose 0.5% in a year.

Is Texas Instruments Inc profitable?

Yes. Texas Instruments Inc had $19.5 billion of revenue over the last 12 months with a net margin of 31.1% and a P/E of 43.3.

Dates to watch for TXN

Insider trades can come any day: they must be filed on Form 4 within two business days.

DateEventWhy it matters
Wed Oct 28, 2026Federal Reserve rate decisionMarket odds: 87% hold, 1% cut, 12% hike.
Mon Nov 16, 202613F filing deadlineFunds disclose what they held on 2026-09-30, including TXN.
Fri Nov 20, 2026Monthly options expirationOften heavier trading and bigger swings in widely traded stocks.

Key terms on this page

P/E ratio
Price divided by the last 12 months of earnings per share. A P/E of 20 means investors pay $20 for each $1 of yearly profit. It is only defined when the company is profitable.
Form 4
The SEC form a company's officers, directors and 10% owners must file within two business days of buying or selling its stock.
Open-market trade
A purchase or sale on the exchange at the market price, paid with the insider's own money (code P or S on Form 4), as opposed to option exercises, grants or gifts.
Dilution
When a company issues new shares, each existing share owns a smaller piece of the company. Common sources: stock offerings, convertible debt and large stock-based pay.
52-week high / low
The highest and lowest daily closing price over the past year (about 252 trading days).
Analyst consensus
The average of Wall Street analysts' ratings (strong buy to strong sell). Analysts skew positive, so a hold is often read as a cautious view.
EPS and earnings surprise
Earnings per share is profit divided by shares. The surprise is how far the reported number came in above or below the analysts' average estimate.

Where these numbers come from

Every number on this page is computed from the data when the page is refreshed (usually daily); nothing is typed in by hand. This is information, not investment advice.

  • Price: daily closing prices through Oct. 21, 2026; changes use 5, 21 and 63 trading days; the 52-week range uses the last 252 closes.
  • Insider trades: SEC Form 4 filings for the last 90 days. The count includes only open-market purchases (code P) and sales (code S). Option exercises, grants, gifts and filings with data errors are left out.
  • Analyst ratings: counts of current ratings from 43 analysts, compared with three months ago.
  • Earnings dates and estimates: a market-data calendar; reported vs expected EPS for the last 4 quarters.
  • Valuation and growth: revenue, earnings, margins and share counts come from the company's SEC filings. The data is XBRL for the latest quarter, Jun 2026. P/E and price/sales use the latest close.
  • Dilution: share-count changes and offering-related SEC filings (shelf registrations, prospectus supplements, convertible notes) over two years, scored 0-100.
  • History: 21-trading-day moves over about three years of daily closes, counted once per episode.
Track TXN insider trades, dilution and 8-K filings as they're filed. CapitalSnitch puts SEC insider trading, 13F fund ownership and Congress trades inside ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, Grok and Copilot — ask "Are insiders buying TXN?" and get the answer with links to the filings. Free plan, no card; paid plans from $29/month, with instant alerts on Edge.
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How this article was made: it was generated from SEC filings and market data with automated tools and is published under Nolan Prescott's editorial responsibility. Spotted an error? Tell us and we will correct it.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (Form 4, 8-K/6-K, prospectuses, XBRL share counts) and daily closing prices. Insider sales are often routine (taxes, diversification, pre-planned 10b5-1 plans). Not investment advice.

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