NFLX stock forecast and price prediction: what the data shows

Price targets are educated guesses, but the inputs behind them are public. CapitalSnitch doesn't publish price targets or predictions.

Below are the four that matter most for NFLX: what analysts think, the next earnings report, how Netflix Inc has done against estimates and how much the stock has swung in the past.

The chart below tracks NFLX's daily closing price from April 24, 2026 to Oct. 20, 2026. Over that stretch it is down 25.7%, from $92.44 to $68.69, with a high of $93.61 on April 30, 2026 and a low of $67.06 on Oct. 2, 2026. Each red circle marks a week in which company insiders sold shares on the open market (7 weeks in this period; bigger circles mean more money). There are no green diamonds: no insider bought on the open market in this window.

NFLX analyst consensus

Of 58 Wall Street analysts covering NFLX, 43 rate it a buy, 15 a hold and 0 a sell — a consensus of Buy. Ratings are little changed over three months.

NFLX earnings track record

Netflix Inc beat the analyst estimate in 1 of the last 4 quarters.

The table below shows NFLX earnings track record. Sept. 30, 2026 has the highest surprise (+3.7%) and March 31, 2026 the lowest (-10.2%).

How much NFLX has swung before

Over the last three years NFLX had 2 drops of 20% or more from a high; the deepest was down 49.9%.

Also worth knowing about NFLX

Live NFLX data, updated every 30 minutes: NFLX insider trades, ownership and filings →

What would change the picture for NFLX

These are the specific events and levels to watch. None of them is a prediction.

• An open-market purchase by an insider at Netflix Inc. There has been none in 90 days; Form 4 filings would show one within two business days of the trade.
• Analyst ratings: the average score moved from 4.05 to 3.98 over three months (on a scale where 5 is strong buy and 1 is strong sell). A run of downgrades after earnings usually shows up here first.
• Price levels: a close above $124.14 would be a new 52-week high, 80.7% above the latest close of $68.69; a close below $67.06 would be a new 52-week low, 2.4% below it.
• Growth: revenue rose 16.0% year over year in the quarter ending Jun 2026 (trend: steady).
• New shares: dilution risk is low now. A new shelf registration (S-3) or a prospectus supplement (424B) for an offering would raise it.

How NFLX compares with its peers

Over the past month NFLX ranks 4 of 4 in this group (-6.4%); the best was WBD (+10.1%) and the weakest NFLX (-6.4%).

A dash in the P/E column means the company lost money over the last 12 months, so it has no P/E.

NFLX history: what happened after similar moves

Since 2023, NFLX fell 6.4% or more in a month 15 times (separate episodes, not counting the current one). Three months later it was higher in 8 of 14 cases; the median change was +4.0%.

Past moves don't predict the next one; they show how volatile the stock has been.

Questions people also ask

What is NFLX's 52-week high and low?

Over the past year NFLX closed as high as $124.14 and as low as $67.06. At $68.69 (Oct. 20, 2026) it is down 44.7% from the high and 2.4% above the low. More →

Are NFLX insiders buying or selling?

Insiders sold $13.2 million of NFLX on the open market in 90 days and bought none. Sales are often routine (taxes, diversification, pre-planned plans); purchases with their own money are the stronger signal.

Is Netflix Inc profitable?

Yes. Netflix Inc had $48.4 billion of revenue over the last 12 months with a net margin of 28.2%.

Is Netflix Inc issuing new shares?

Dilution risk reads low (0/100); the share count fell 2.0% in a year.

Does NFLX pay a dividend?

Netflix Inc reported no dividend payments over the last 12 months in its SEC filings.

Who is the largest shareholder of NFLX?

Among investment managers that file Form 13F, BlackRock Inc. reported the largest NFLX position ($24.9 billion). 3372 institutions reported holding NFLX for Q2 2026.

Dates to watch for NFLX

Insider trades can come any day: they must be filed on Form 4 within two business days.

Key terms on this page

P/E ratio

Price divided by the last 12 months of earnings per share. A P/E of 20 means investors pay $20 for each $1 of yearly profit. It is only defined when the company is profitable.

Form 4

The SEC form a company's officers, directors and 10% owners must file within two business days of buying or selling its stock.

Open-market trade

A purchase or sale on the exchange at the market price, paid with the insider's own money (code P or S on Form 4), as opposed to option exercises, grants or gifts.

Form 13F

A quarterly SEC report listing the U.S. stock holdings of every investment manager with more than $100 million. It is due 45 days after each quarter ends, so it shows positions with a delay.

Dilution

When a company issues new shares, each existing share owns a smaller piece of the company. Common sources: stock offerings, convertible debt and large stock-based pay.

52-week high / low

The highest and lowest daily closing price over the past year (about 252 trading days).

Analyst consensus

The average of Wall Street analysts' ratings (strong buy to strong sell). Analysts skew positive, so a hold is often read as a cautious view.

Where these numbers come from

Every number on this page is computed from the data when the page is refreshed (usually daily); nothing is typed in by hand. This is information, not investment advice.

• Price: daily closing prices through Oct. 20, 2026; changes use 5, 21 and 63 trading days; the 52-week range uses the last 252 closes.
• Insider trades: SEC Form 4 filings for the last 90 days, counting only open-market purchases (code P) and sales (code S); option exercises, grants, gifts and filings with data errors are left out.
• Analyst ratings: counts of current ratings from 58 analysts, compared with three months ago.
• Earnings dates and estimates: a market-data calendar; reported vs expected EPS for the last 4 quarters.
• Valuation and growth: revenue, earnings, margins and share counts from the company's SEC filings (XBRL data, latest quarter Jun 2026); P/E and price/sales use the latest close.
• Fund ownership: SEC Form 13F filings for Q2 2026.
• Dilution: share-count changes and offering-related SEC filings (shelf registrations, prospectus supplements, convertible notes) over two years, scored 0-100.
• History: 21-trading-day moves over about three years of daily closes, counted once per episode.